Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and Gold
NASDAQ
The NASDAQ plunged to close lower, influenced by China’s Deepseek developments. On the weekly chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the gap-down movement pushed the MACD further downward, resulting in a sharp decline in the NASDAQ index. On the daily chart, a gap was created as a bearish candle formed with a high opening price. Given the moving average trends, breaching the 120-day moving average in the current range could trigger a downward wave, threatening the 240-day moving average as well.
However, the MACD on the daily chart has not yet crossed below the signal line (dead cross), so it’s worth observing whether the market rebounds to form a box range or continues its downward momentum. If the 120-day moving average is breached, a drop to the 240-day moving average is possible. It would also be prudent to consider levels as low as 19,800, which aligns with the 10-day moving average on the monthly chart and the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart.
On the 240-minute chart, a steep decline is evident, with the MACD and signal line falling sharply below the zero line. The angle suggests that further downward movement is likely, making sell strategies favorable during upward corrections. With the VIX index surging, volatility has intensified. Traders using one-contract strategies should consider scaling down their leverage—e.g., by using micro NASDAQ contracts or splitting positions into smaller increments like 0.01 lots through MetaTrader—allowing for more flexible risk management in these volatile conditions.
OIL
Oil closed lower, finding support at the 240-day moving average. This is a key level, as it overlaps with a prior resistance zone, making a pullback buy strategy effective in this range. However, the MACD has crossed below the signal line (dead cross), maintaining the sell signal, and this suggests that any rebound is likely to face significant pullbacks.
Rebounds are expected to occur within a large box range, with the market likely undergoing time corrections to align the moving averages. On the 240-minute chart, sell signals are evident. Even with further declines, the 240-minute chart indicates that the 240-day moving average could act as strong support, potentially allowing a rebound toward the 60-day moving average, which corresponds to approximately $76.
This aligns with a resistance level seen on the daily chart, making a pullback buy strategy advisable near this zone. Oil prices are also being influenced by the strengthening dollar, fueled by global market volatility. While AI-related factors have contributed to the dollar’s strength, the impact on oil prices is expected to be limited, with oil maintaining its own unique volatility.
GOLD
Gold plunged to close lower due to dollar strength amid heightened volatility. On the weekly chart, the MACD resumed its downward trajectory, with the gold price showing a steep decline. The MACD has not been able to cross above the signal line decisively, consistent with its pattern.
On the daily chart, it is critical to monitor whether the 10-day moving average provides support during the current downtrend. On the 240-minute chart, MACD divergence accompanied gold’s sharp decline. However, since the MACD and signal line are still above the zero line, there may be room for a rebound.
It’s essential to check for support and recovery near the 2,730 level. If prices rebound, gold could aim to test previous highs based on the daily chart trend. Avoid chasing prices lower with aggressive selling; instead, focus on pullback buying strategies.
If the NASDAQ continues its decline and gold follows suit, further downside toward 2,700 is possible. Overall, buying during pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but strict risk management with stop-loss levels is crucial.
The volatility in U.S. markets has increased due to China’s Deepseek developments. As always, heightened volatility in futures markets presents both opportunities and risks. Traders who can maintain disciplined strategies may capitalize on this environment, while those who cannot may risk significant losses.
With Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, as well as earnings reports from Tesla and Meta on Wednesday and Apple on Thursday, market volatility is expected to remain high. Wishing you success in trading this week!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21,260 / 21,140 / 21,100 / 21,040 / 21,890
-Sell: 21,365 / 21,415 / 21,480 / 21,540 / 21,660
OIL - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 72.60 / 72.00 / 71.40 / 70.60
-Sell: 73.55 / 74.40 / 75.00 / 75.95
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2,739 / 2,733 / 2,726 / 2,716
-Sell: 2,754 / 2,760 / 2,767 / 2,776
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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The NASDAQ plunged to close lower, influenced by China’s Deepseek developments. On the weekly chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the gap-down movement pushed the MACD further downward, resulting in a sharp decline in the NASDAQ index. On the daily chart, a gap was created as a bearish candle formed with a high opening price. Given the moving average trends, breaching the 120-day moving average in the current range could trigger a downward wave, threatening the 240-day moving average as well.
However, the MACD on the daily chart has not yet crossed below the signal line (dead cross), so it’s worth observing whether the market rebounds to form a box range or continues its downward momentum. If the 120-day moving average is breached, a drop to the 240-day moving average is possible. It would also be prudent to consider levels as low as 19,800, which aligns with the 10-day moving average on the monthly chart and the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart.
On the 240-minute chart, a steep decline is evident, with the MACD and signal line falling sharply below the zero line. The angle suggests that further downward movement is likely, making sell strategies favorable during upward corrections. With the VIX index surging, volatility has intensified. Traders using one-contract strategies should consider scaling down their leverage—e.g., by using micro NASDAQ contracts or splitting positions into smaller increments like 0.01 lots through MetaTrader—allowing for more flexible risk management in these volatile conditions.
OIL
Oil closed lower, finding support at the 240-day moving average. This is a key level, as it overlaps with a prior resistance zone, making a pullback buy strategy effective in this range. However, the MACD has crossed below the signal line (dead cross), maintaining the sell signal, and this suggests that any rebound is likely to face significant pullbacks.
Rebounds are expected to occur within a large box range, with the market likely undergoing time corrections to align the moving averages. On the 240-minute chart, sell signals are evident. Even with further declines, the 240-minute chart indicates that the 240-day moving average could act as strong support, potentially allowing a rebound toward the 60-day moving average, which corresponds to approximately $76.
This aligns with a resistance level seen on the daily chart, making a pullback buy strategy advisable near this zone. Oil prices are also being influenced by the strengthening dollar, fueled by global market volatility. While AI-related factors have contributed to the dollar’s strength, the impact on oil prices is expected to be limited, with oil maintaining its own unique volatility.
GOLD
Gold plunged to close lower due to dollar strength amid heightened volatility. On the weekly chart, the MACD resumed its downward trajectory, with the gold price showing a steep decline. The MACD has not been able to cross above the signal line decisively, consistent with its pattern.
On the daily chart, it is critical to monitor whether the 10-day moving average provides support during the current downtrend. On the 240-minute chart, MACD divergence accompanied gold’s sharp decline. However, since the MACD and signal line are still above the zero line, there may be room for a rebound.
It’s essential to check for support and recovery near the 2,730 level. If prices rebound, gold could aim to test previous highs based on the daily chart trend. Avoid chasing prices lower with aggressive selling; instead, focus on pullback buying strategies.
If the NASDAQ continues its decline and gold follows suit, further downside toward 2,700 is possible. Overall, buying during pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but strict risk management with stop-loss levels is crucial.
The volatility in U.S. markets has increased due to China’s Deepseek developments. As always, heightened volatility in futures markets presents both opportunities and risks. Traders who can maintain disciplined strategies may capitalize on this environment, while those who cannot may risk significant losses.
With Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, as well as earnings reports from Tesla and Meta on Wednesday and Apple on Thursday, market volatility is expected to remain high. Wishing you success in trading this week!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21,260 / 21,140 / 21,100 / 21,040 / 21,890
-Sell: 21,365 / 21,415 / 21,480 / 21,540 / 21,660
OIL - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 72.60 / 72.00 / 71.40 / 70.60
-Sell: 73.55 / 74.40 / 75.00 / 75.95
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2,739 / 2,733 / 2,726 / 2,716
-Sell: 2,754 / 2,760 / 2,767 / 2,776
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
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📌You can earn 50 USD for free
📌Over 1,000$ → +20% deposit HUNT
📌Support Metatrader4,5
📌Inquiry : t.me/NikoChoi
✅Trade Inquiry : t.me/Futureguard
✅Trade here: vigco.co/iuQbUf
📌You can earn 50 USD for free
📌Over 1,000$ → +20% deposit HUNT
📌Support Metatrader4,5
📌Inquiry : t.me/NikoChoi
✅Trade Inquiry : t.me/Futureguard
📌You can earn 50 USD for free
📌Over 1,000$ → +20% deposit HUNT
📌Support Metatrader4,5
📌Inquiry : t.me/NikoChoi
✅Trade Inquiry : t.me/Futureguard
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