If you think we're still in a bull market and want to find a track for Alpha, then RWA must be the place with better soil and fertilizer. The near-listing of the ETH ETF and the impending easing of monetary policy will provide a large amount of funds for the crypto. These funds are mainly asset management companies and enterprises. They will look for compliance risk targets to increase their crypto positions. Apart from directly holding BTC and ETH, what I can think of is the RWA track.

Probably in the last few weeks, you can see an increase in the number of news mentions about RWA on social media. Some asset management companies that issue BTC ETFs have begun to get involved with RWA. We mentioned the leading projects in the RWA track a few months ago, such as MKR and ONDO. But unlike at that time when they were fighting separately, today's RWA track is becoming more and more integrated as a whole.

Today, let’s take another look at MKR. As one of the protocols with the highest revenue in the crypto market, MakerDAO received an impact from the challenger ONDO in 2024, and due to miscalculation and increased USDe positions, many DeFi protocols increased their vigilance towards DAI. This has also caused the price of MKR to enter a continuous decline since April. Aging and opposition do not lead to improvement.

Recently, MakerDAO changed its original strategy and expressed its willingness to use US$1 billion in investment and US Treasury bond products from its treasury. The move attracted a number of RWA protocols, including BlackRock and original contender ONDO. The market interpreted this as MakerDAO’s strategy for ONDO changing from confrontation to complementarity. Benefiting from this, MKR prices have rebounded in recent days.

After talking about the changes in fundamentals, let’s take a look at the reaction on the indicators. Earlier than MKR’s policy change, the TSB indicator prompted a BUY signal on July 11. After that, MKR started an upward trend and broke through the 4h-high of 2600. The current column is far away from the wavy area of the TSB indicator, and the bullish trend is healthy.


Introduction to indicators:

Trend Sentinel Barrier (TSB) is a trend indicator, using AI algorithm to calculate the cumulative trading volume of bulls and bears, identify trend direction and opportunities, and calculate short-term average cost in combination with changes of turnover ratio in multi-period trends, so as to grasp the profit from the trend more effectively without being cheated.

KDMM (KD Momentum Matrix) is not only a momentum indicator, but also a short-term indicator. It divides the movement of the candle into long and short term trends, as well as bullish and bearish momentum. It identifies the points where the bullish and bearish momentum increases and weakens, and effectively capture profits.

Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.

Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.


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