Volatility Based Momentum by QTX Algo SystemsVolatility Based Momentum by QTX Algo Systems
Overview
This indicator is designed to determine whether a market trend is genuinely supported by both momentum and volatility. It produces per-candle signals when a smoothed momentum oscillator is above its moving average, a Price – Moving Average Ratio confirms overall trend strength by remaining above a preset level with a positive slope, and when at least one of two distinct volatility metrics is rising. This integrated approach offers traders a consolidated and dynamic view of market energy, delivering more actionable insights than a simple merger of standard indicators.
How It Works
The indicator fuses two complementary volatility measures with dual momentum assessments to ensure robust signal generation. One volatility metric evaluates long-term market behavior by analyzing the dispersion of logarithmic price changes, while the other—derived from a Bollinger Band Width Percentile—captures recent price variability and confirms that market volatility remains above a minimum threshold. A trading signal is generated only when at least one of these volatility measures shows a sustained upward trend over several candles.
For momentum, a double‐smoothed Stochastic Momentum Index provides a refined, short-term view of price action, filtering out market noise. In addition, the PMARP serves as a confirmation tool by comparing the current price to its moving average, requiring that its value remains above a defined level with a positive slope to indicate a strong trend. Together, these elements ensure that a signal is only produced when both the market’s momentum and volatility are in alignment.
Although the components used are based on well-known technical analysis methods, the thoughtful integration of these elements creates a tool that is more than the sum of its parts. By combining long-term volatility assessment with a real-time measure of recent price variability—and by merging short-term momentum analysis with a confirmation of overall trend strength—the indicator delivers a more reliable and comprehensive view of market energy. This holistic approach distinguishes it from standard indicators.
How to Use
Traders can adjust the volatility threshold setting to tailor the indicator to their preferred market or timeframe. The indicator displays per-candle signals when both the refined momentum criteria and the dynamic volatility conditions are met. These signals are intended to be used as part of a broader trading strategy, in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for confirming entries and exits.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and is intended to support your trading strategy. It does not guarantee performance, and past results are not indicative of future outcomes. Always use proper risk management and perform your own analysis before trading.
Zmienność historyczna
Ortalama Gerçek Aralık % (Percentage ATR Display with MA)In addition to the average true range indicator, it also calculates percentages.(Ortalama gerçek aralık indikatörüne ilave olarak yüzdelik hesaplama'da yapıyor.)
Volume ClueThis is a test
Volume clues :
Within volume there are hints given when volume has massive increases and also when volume is low i will reffer to low volume as volume stalls.
A High volume bar with the color Red followed by some yellow and white volume bars signal seller exhaustion.
Bollinger Bands by Abu ElyasBollinger Bands with Adjustable Stop Loss (Long-Only)
This strategy uses a Bollinger Band breakout approach to enter long positions and incorporates an adjustable stop loss for risk management.
Below is an overview of the logic, parameters, and usage instructions.
1. Bollinger Bands Logic
Basis (Middle Band): A moving average (type selectable by the user) of the chosen source, typically the closing price.
Upper Band: The basis plus a specified number of standard deviations (user-defined multiplier).
Lower Band: The basis minus the same number of standard deviations.
2. Entry Triggers
The strategy enters a long position when the close price rises above the upper Bollinger Band , suggesting a potential bullish breakout.
This logic is only applied within a user-specified date range (adjustable in the strategy’s inputs).
3. Exit Triggers
1. Bollinger Band Exit:
If the close price drops below the lower Bollinger Band , the strategy closes the position, indicating a loss of bullish momentum.
2. Stop Loss Exit:
A default 8% stop loss is set, which automatically exits the trade if the close falls 8% below the entry price.
This stop-loss percentage is adjustable from the strategy’s settings, allowing users to tailor risk based on their preferences.
3. Date Range:
If the current bar is outside of the specified start/end dates, the strategy will also exit any open positions.
4. Position Sizing & Other Settings
1- Position Size:
By default, the script uses 100% of account equity for each trade.
2- Commissions & Slippage:
Commission is set to 0%, and slippage is set to 3 ticks.
3- Timeframe Handling:
You can select a custom timeframe or leave it blank to use the chart’s timeframe.
5. Customization
1. Bollinger Bands Parameters:
Length of the moving average, type of moving average (SMA, EMA, etc.), and the standard deviation multiplier can be adjusted.
2. Stop Loss (%)
The default stop loss of 8% can be changed in the script’s input settings to any percentage you prefer.
3. Date Filter:
Modify the start/end dates to control the historical period over which the strategy executes trades.
6. Notes & Best Practices
1- No Short Trades:
This is a long‐only strategy. It will either be in a long position or flat (no open position).
2- Risk Management:
An 8% stop loss may or may not align with your personal risk tolerance. Always adjust according to market conditions and your own trading style.
3- Market Gaps & Volatility:
In highly volatile markets, slippage or gaps can cause the actual exit price to be worse than the intended stop-loss level.
4- Test Thoroughly:
Backtest on different timeframes and market conditions. No single strategy works in all scenarios.
7. Disclaimer
Educational Use Only: This script is for informational and illustrative purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
No Guarantee of Profit: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk, and it is possible to lose more than your initial investment.
Consult a Professional: Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Use this script as a foundation and personalize it based on your trading style, tolerance for drawdowns, and market conditions.
Volatility Price FlowCapitalize on market volatility with our new volatility price flow indicator. We have designed this indicator to process historical price movements and indicate when price may have reached exhaustion in the context of current volatility.
This is achieved by taking the price deviation from a user defined moving average, and applying a weighting to the deviations from the candle body and candle wick on both buy side and sell side, over a user defined period. The period of the base moving average, type of moving average and the period of the historical price deviations can all be modified. This creates a typical 'band' style indicator, though with a unique characteristic that the buy and sell side vary independently as well as the band expansion being based on weighted variables tied to the actual price changes, rather than just a standard deviation the moves uniformly.
Additionally, these bands can be merged with an anchored vwap - we do this so that the deviations of price from the moving average can include a more volume based approach to identifying potential pivots.
The end result is an indicator that reflects the current market price movements, identifies and capitalizes on impulsive or beginning moves to indicate potential tops / bottoms / reversals.
The signals are simple - anytime price closes within a band, having been outside the band, a signal is displayed. As a basic guide to setting the indicator up for the first time, we suggest reducing all of the multipliers to a value less than 1. Then gradually increase each one, until the signals reduce in quantity and improve in quality, starting with the price deviation multiplier, then the volatility multiplier and finally the expansion multiplier.
Last of all, alerts can be created based on the current chart timeframe and indicator settings, simply by adding an alert that uses the built in buy or sell signal.
Note: We cannot guarantee the accuracy of the signals provided, since the user creates the signals by modifying the settings, and as such we can take no responsibility for any trading losses incurred using the indicator and highly encourage all users to manage their risk and only risk what you can afford to lose.
Power Play Signal Indicator [Masky18]Power Play Signal Indicator
The Power Play Signal Indicator is a sophisticated custom trading strategy designed to identify high-probability breakout and breakdown opportunities by combining consolidation detection, trend alignment, volume analysis, and relative strength ranking. Unlike simple mashups of existing indicators, this script integrates multiple technical concepts into a cohesive strategy that helps traders capitalize on market momentum with precision.
What Makes This Indicator Unique?
The PowerPlay Signal Indicator is not just a combination of existing indicators; it is a custom-built strategy that uses original logic to filter out low-probability setups and focus on high-quality trading opportunities. Here’s how it works:
Consolidation Detection:
The script identifies consolidation zones by analyzing price action over a user-defined period (default: 6 bars). It calculates the high, low, and midpoint of the consolidation range and ensures the price stays within a specified percentage range (default: 13%).
Consolidations are classified as Tight, Loose, or Okay, helping traders gauge the strength of the potential breakout or breakdown.
Breakout & Breakdown Logic:
Breakouts and breakdowns are confirmed using a combination of:
Price Action: The script checks if the price closes above the consolidation high (breakout) or below the consolidation low (breakdown).
Volume Analysis: A significant volume spike (default: 20% increase) is required to confirm the move.
MACD & Moving Averages: The script uses MACD and moving averages (50-day and 200-day) to ensure the breakout/breakdown aligns with the prevailing trend.
Trend Alignment:
The script ensures trades are aligned with the long-term trend by using:
50-day SMA and 200-day SMA to confirm uptrends or downtrends.
150-day SMA as an additional filter to ensure the trend is strong.
52-week high/low conditions to ensure the price is in a favorable position relative to its historical range.
Relative Strength Ranking:
The script compares the asset’s performance against a benchmark asset (e.g., SPY) to ensure it is outperforming the market. This is done using a customizable Relative Strength (RS) Threshold (default: 70).
Golden Candle Signals:
For high-probability setups, the script identifies Golden Candles—strong breakout or breakdown candles with:
Large price movement (default: 7.5% to 12.5% candle size).
High volume (default: 2x the average consolidation volume).
Alignment with MACD and moving averages.
Risk Management:
The script provides stop loss, trailing stop, and take profit levels based on:
ATR (Average True Range): Dynamic stop loss levels are calculated using ATR (default: 14-period ATR with a 2x multiplier).
Trailing Stop Percentage: User-defined trailing stop (default: 2%).
Take Profit Percentage: User-defined take profit (default: 5%).
Performance Tracking:
The script includes a Performance Table that tracks:
Total breakouts and breakdowns.
Successful and failed trades.
Win rates for breakouts and breakdowns.
Golden candle signals.
How Does It Work?
The PowerPlay Signal Indicator combines the following key components to generate signals:
Consolidation Detection:
The script calculates the high, low, and midpoint of the consolidation range over a user-defined period.
It ensures the price stays within a specified percentage range (default: 13%) to confirm consolidation.
Breakout/Breakdown Confirmation:
A breakout is confirmed when:
The price closes above the consolidation high.
Volume increases by at least 20%.
MACD is positive and above the signal line.
The price is above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
A breakdown is confirmed when:
The price closes below the consolidation low.
Volume increases by at least 20%.
MACD is negative and below the signal line.
The price is below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
Golden Candle Signals:
Golden Candles are identified when:
The candle size is between 7.5% and 12.5%.
Volume is at least 2x the average consolidation volume.
The candle aligns with the prevailing trend and MACD.
Risk Management:
Stop loss levels are calculated using ATR (default: 14-period ATR with a 2x multiplier).
Trailing stop and take profit levels are based on user-defined percentages.
How to Use the Indicator
Input Parameters:
Consolidation Periods: Set the number of bars to analyze for consolidation (default: 6).
Maximum Consolidation Range: Define the maximum percentage range for consolidation (default: 13%).
Stop Loss Factor: Adjust the stop loss multiplier based on the midpoint of the consolidation range (default: 0.985).
RS Threshold: Set the relative strength threshold for trend alignment (default: 70).
Comparison Asset: Enable comparison with a benchmark asset (e.g., SPY) to ensure the asset is outperforming the market.
Trailing Stop Percentage: Set the trailing stop percentage (default: 2%).
Take Profit Percentage: Set the take profit percentage (default: 5%).
Time Exit Bars: Define the maximum number of bars to hold a trade (default: 10).
Interpreting Signals:
Breakout Signal: A green label ("BO") appears when a breakout is detected.
Breakdown Signal: A red label ("BD") appears when a breakdown is detected.
Golden Candle Signal: A gold medal icon (🥇) appears for high-probability setups.
Performance Table:
The performance table displays the number of trades, successful trades, failed trades, and win rates for breakouts and breakdowns.
Alerts:
Enable alerts for breakouts, breakdowns, and golden candles to stay informed about potential trading opportunities.
Why Choose the PowerPlay Signal Indicator?
Original Logic: Combines consolidation detection, trend alignment, volume analysis, and relative strength ranking into a unique strategy.
High-Probability Signals: Focuses on high-quality setups with strong volume and trend alignment.
Risk Management: Built-in stop loss, trailing stop, and take profit options help you manage risk effectively.
Performance Tracking: Tracks trade outcomes and win rates to help you refine your strategy.
Customizable: Fully adjustable inputs allow you to adapt the indicator to your trading style and market conditions.
Cypto Oscillator with Sortino-like VolatilityEnhanced Inverted Ultimate Oscillator with Sortino-like Volatility
This indicator combines the power of the Ultimate Oscillator with a unique Sortino-like volatility calculation to provide a comprehensive view of market dynamics. It's designed to help traders identify potential turning points and assess the risk associated with price movements.
**Core Components:**
* **Ultimate Oscillator (UO):** The UO is a momentum indicator that incorporates short, medium, and long-term price action to identify overbought and oversold conditions. This indicator inverts and normalizes the UO to a 0-10 scale, providing a clear view of momentum shifts.
* **Sortino-like Volatility:** Instead of a standard deviation, this indicator uses a downside deviation calculation. This focuses specifically on *negative* price movements, offering a more relevant measure of risk for most traders. By not penalizing upside volatility, it avoids giving false signals during strong bull runs. The downside deviation is scaled as a percentage of the closing price for cross-asset comparability.
* **Volatility Signal:** The inverted UO is multiplied by the downside deviation to create a combined volatility signal. This signal reflects both momentum and downside risk, providing a more nuanced market perspective.
**Key Features and Uses:**
* **Identifying Potential Turning Points:** Divergences between the UO and price action can signal potential trend reversals. Look for the UO to make higher lows while price makes lower lows (bullish divergence) or the UO to make lower highs while price makes higher highs (bearish divergence).
* **Assessing Downside Risk:** The Sortino-like volatility component helps traders gauge the potential for downside price swings. Higher volatility suggests greater risk.
* **Dynamic Volatility Thresholds:** The indicator includes adjustable upper and lower volatility thresholds, based on a moving average of the volatility signal. These thresholds can be used to identify periods of unusually high or low volatility.
* **Customizable Lookback Periods:** Traders can adjust the lookback periods for the UO and the standard deviation calculation to fine-tune the indicator to their specific trading style and market conditions.
* **Visualizations:** The indicator provides several visual aids, including:
* A histogram of the volatility signal, colored dynamically based on its relationship to the moving average of volatility. Red indicates volatility above the upper bound, orange between the bounds and green below the lower bound.
* A line plot of the volatility signal.
* An optional moving average of the volatility signal.
* Optional upper and lower volatility threshold lines with a filled range for visual clarity.
* **Alerts:** The indicator includes alert conditions for when the volatility signal crosses above the upper threshold (high volatility) or below the lower threshold (low volatility).
**How to Use:**
1. **Inputs:** Adjust the input parameters to optimize the indicator for your chosen asset and timeframe.
2. **Divergences:** Look for divergences between the UO and price to identify potential trend reversals.
3. **Volatility:** Use the volatility signal and thresholds to assess downside risk.
4. **Alerts:** Enable alerts to be notified of high or low volatility events.
**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.
Key improvements in this description:
Clear and concise language: Easy for traders to understand.
Focus on benefits: Highlights how the indicator can help traders.
Detailed explanation of features: Covers all the important aspects.
How-to-use section: Provides practical guidance.
Disclaimer: Includes a necessary disclaimer.
Emphasis on the Sortino-like approach: This is a unique selling point of your indicator.
Well-structured and formatted: Easy to read and digest.
This description should be a great starting point for sharing your indicator with the TradingView community. You can further customize it by adding screenshots of the indicator in action or linking to a chart where it's being used. Remember to respond to comments and questions from other users to build engagement and improve your indicator over time.
Relative Volume Index [PhenLabs]Relative Volume Index (RVI)
Version: PineScript™ v6
Description
The Relative Volume Index (RVI) is a sophisticated volume analysis indicator that compares real-time trading volume against historical averages for specific time periods. By analyzing volume patterns and statistical deviations, it helps traders identify unusual market activity and potential trading opportunities. The indicator uses dynamic color visualization and statistical overlays to provide clear, actionable volume analysis.
Components
• Volume Comparison: Real-time volume relative to historical averages
• Statistical Bands: Upper and lower deviation bands showing volume volatility
• Moving Average Line: Smoothed trend of relative volume
• Color Gradient Display: Visual representation of volume strength
• Statistics Dashboard: Real-time metrics and calculations
Usage Guidelines
Volume Strength Analysis:
• Values > 1.0 indicate above-average volume
• Values < 1.0 indicate below-average volume
• Watch for readings above the threshold (default 6.5x) for exceptional volume
Trading Signals:
• Strong volume confirms price moves
• Divergences between price and volume suggest potential reversals
• Use extreme readings as potential reversal signals
Optimal Settings:
• Start with default 15-bar lookback for general analysis
• Adjust threshold (6.5x) based on market volatility
• Use with multiple timeframes for confirmation
Best Practices:
• Combine with price action and other indicators
• Monitor deviation bands for volatility expansion
• Use the statistics panel for precise readings
• Pay attention to color gradients for quick assessment
Limitations
• Requires quality volume data for accurate calculations
• May produce false signals during pre/post market hours
• Historical comparisons may be skewed during unusual market conditions
• Best suited for liquid markets with consistent volume patterns
Note: For optimal results, use in conjunction with price action analysis and other technical indicators. The indicator performs best during regular market hours on liquid instruments.
Implied and Historical VolatilityAbstract
This TradingView indicator visualizes implied volatility (IV) derived from the VIX index and historical volatility (HV) computed from past price data of the S&P 500 (or any selected asset). It enables users to compare market participants' forward-looking volatility expectations (via VIX) with realized past volatility (via historical returns). Such comparisons are pivotal in identifying risk sentiment, volatility regimes, and potential mispricing in derivatives.
Functionality
Implied Volatility (IV):
The implied volatility is extracted from the VIX index, often referred to as the "fear gauge." The VIX represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward volatility, derived from options pricing on the S&P 500. Higher values of VIX indicate increased uncertainty and risk aversion (Whaley, 2000).
Historical Volatility (HV):
The historical volatility is calculated using the standard deviation of logarithmic returns over a user-defined period (default: 20 trading days). The result is annualized using a scaling factor (default: 252 trading days). Historical volatility represents the asset's past price fluctuation intensity, often used as a benchmark for realized risk (Hull, 2018).
Dynamic Background Visualization:
A dynamic background is used to highlight the relationship between IV and HV:
Yellow background: Implied volatility exceeds historical volatility, signaling elevated market expectations relative to past realized risk.
Blue background: Historical volatility exceeds implied volatility, suggesting the market might be underestimating future uncertainty.
Use Cases
Options Pricing and Trading:
The disparity between IV and HV provides insights into whether options are over- or underpriced. For example, when IV is significantly higher than HV, options traders might consider selling volatility-based derivatives to capitalize on elevated premiums (Natenberg, 1994).
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Implied volatility is often used as a proxy for market sentiment. Comparing IV to HV can help identify whether the market is overly optimistic or pessimistic about future risks.
Risk Management:
Institutional and retail investors alike use volatility measures to adjust portfolio risk exposure. Periods of high implied or historical volatility might necessitate rebalancing strategies to mitigate potential drawdowns (Campbell et al., 2001).
Volatility Trading Strategies:
Traders employing volatility arbitrage can benefit from understanding the IV/HV relationship. Strategies such as "long gamma" positions (buying options when IV < HV) or "short gamma" (selling options when IV > HV) are directly informed by these metrics.
Scientific Basis
The indicator leverages established financial principles:
Implied Volatility: Derived from the Black-Scholes-Merton model, implied volatility reflects the market's aggregate expectation of future price fluctuations (Black & Scholes, 1973).
Historical Volatility: Computed as the realized standard deviation of asset returns, historical volatility measures the intensity of past price movements, forming the basis for risk quantification (Jorion, 2007).
Behavioral Implications: IV often deviates from HV due to behavioral biases such as risk aversion and herding, creating opportunities for arbitrage (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Practical Considerations
Input Flexibility: Users can modify the length of the HV calculation and the annualization factor to suit specific markets or instruments.
Market Selection: The default ticker for implied volatility is the VIX (CBOE:VIX), but other volatility indices can be substituted for assets outside the S&P 500.
Data Frequency: This indicator is most effective on daily charts, as VIX data typically updates at a daily frequency.
Limitations
Implied volatility reflects the market's consensus but does not guarantee future accuracy, as it is subject to rapid adjustments based on news or events.
Historical volatility assumes a stationary distribution of returns, which might not hold during structural breaks or crises (Engle, 1982).
References
Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). "The Investor Fear Gauge." The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
Hull, J. C. (2018). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education.
Natenberg, S. (1994). Option Volatility and Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques. McGraw-Hill.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (2001). The Econometrics of Financial Markets. Princeton University Press.
Jorion, P. (2007). Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. McGraw-Hill.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2007). "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 129-151.
Machine Learning RSI Bands V3The Machine Learning RSI Bands V3 is a cutting-edge trading tool designed to provide actionable insights by combining the strength of machine learning with a traditional RSI framework. It adapts dynamically to changing market conditions, offering traders a robust, data-driven approach to identifying opportunities.
Let’s break down its functionality and the logic behind each input to give you a clear understanding of how it works and how you can use it effectively.
RSI Parameters RSI Source (rsisrc): Choose the data source for RSI calculation, such as the closing price. This allows you to focus on the specific price data that aligns with your trading strategy. RSI Length (rsilen): Set the number of periods used for RSI calculation. A shorter length makes the RSI more reactive to price changes, while a longer length smooths out volatility. These inputs allow you to customize the foundational RSI calculations, ensuring the indicator fits your style of trading.
Band Limits Lower Band Limit (lb): Defines the RSI value below which the market is considered oversold. Upper Band Limit (ub): Defines the RSI value above which the market is considered overbought. These settings give you control over the thresholds for market conditions. By adjusting the band limits, you can tailor the indicator to be more or less sensitive to market movements.
Sampling and Reaction Settings Target Reaction Size (l): Determines the number of bars used to define pivot points. Smaller values react to shorter-term price movements, while larger values focus on broader trends. Backtesting Reaction Size (btw): Sets the number of bars used to validate signal performance. This ensures signals are only considered valid if they perform consistently within the specified range. Data Format (version): Choose between Absolute (ignoring direction) and Directional (incorporating directional price changes). Sampling Method (sm): Select how the data is analyzed—options include Price Movement, Volume Movement, RSI Movement, Trend Movement, or a Hybrid approach. These settings empower you to refine how the indicator processes and interprets data, whether focusing on short-term price shifts or broader market trends.
Signal Settings Signal Confidence Method (cm): Choose between: Threshold: Signals must meet a confidence limit before being generated. Voting: Requires a majority of 5 signal components to confirm a trade. Confidence Limit (cl): Defines the confidence threshold for generating signals when using the Threshold method. Votes Needed (vn): Sets the number of votes required to confirm a trade when using the Voting method. Use All Outputs (fm): If enabled, signals are generated without filtering, providing an unfiltered view of potential opportunities. This section offers a balance between precision and flexibility, enabling you to control the rigor applied to signal generation.
How It Works
The script uses machine learning models to adaptively calculate dynamic RSI bands. These bands adjust based on market conditions, providing a more responsive and nuanced interpretation of overbought and oversold levels.
Dynamic Bands: The lower and upper RSI bands are recalibrated using machine learning to reflect current market conditions. Signals: Long and short signals are generated when RSI crosses these bands, with additional filters applied based on your chosen confidence method and sampling settings. Transparency: Real-time success rates and profit factors are displayed on the chart, giving you clear feedback on the indicator's performance.
Why Use Machine Learning RSI Bands V3?
This indicator is built for traders who want more than static thresholds and generic signals. It offers:
Adaptability: Machine learning dynamically adjusts the indicator to market conditions. Customizability: Each input serves a specific purpose, giving you full control over its behavior. Accountability: With built-in performance metrics, you always know how the tool is performing.
This is a tool designed for those who value precision and adaptability in trading.
Ultra Volume High Breakoutser Inputs:
length: Defines the period to calculate the moving average of volume.
multiplier: Sets the threshold above the moving average to consider as "Ultra Volume."
breakoutMultiplier: Allows for customization of breakout sensitivity.
Volume Calculation:
The script calculates a simple moving average (SMA) of the volume for a defined period (length).
It then detects if the current volume is higher than the moving average multiplied by the user-defined multiplier.
Breakout Condition:
The script checks if the price has moved above the highest close of the previous length periods while the volume condition for "Ultra Volume" is true.
Visuals:
The script marks the breakout with an upward label below the bar (plotshape), colored green for easy identification.
Ultra volume is highlighted with a red histogram plot.
Alert Condition:
An alert condition is included to trigger whenever an ultra volume high breakout occurs.
Customization:
You can adjust the length, multiplier, and breakoutMultiplier to fit your strategy and asset volatility.
Alerts can be set in TradingView to notify you when this condition is met.
Let me know if you'd like further customization or explanation!
Hourly Change Table (UTC Adjustable)### Indicator Description: Hourly Change Table (UTC Adjustable)
The **Hourly Change Table (UTC Adjustable)** is a powerful tool designed for analyzing **hourly average price changes** across financial instruments. By calculating and sorting these averages, the indicator identifies the hours with the most significant positive and negative price movements. It also provides visual highlights directly on the chart for easier decision-making.
---
### What Does This Indicator Do?
1. **Analyzes Hourly Average Price Changes**:
- It calculates the **average percentage price change** for each hour based on the selected lookback period.
2. **Displays a Ranked Table**:
- The indicator generates a table ranking hourly averages from the highest to the lowest, allowing you to see which hours are the most impactful.
3. **Highlights Max and Min Hours on the Chart**:
- The hour with the highest average price change is highlighted in **green**.
- The hour with the lowest average price change is highlighted in **red**.
4. **Adjusts for Time Zones**:
- A customizable **UTC Offset** ensures the indicator aligns with your preferred time zone.
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### Key Features
1. **Customizable Lookback Period**:
- Define how many bars the indicator analyzes to calculate meaningful trends.
2. **Time Zone Adjustment**:
- Adjust the UTC offset to match your local trading hours or preferred analysis window.
3. **Graphical Chart Highlights**:
- Instantly identify the most significant hours with color-coded chart backgrounds.
4. **Sorted Data Table**:
- View a ranked list of hourly averages with the maximum and minimum values highlighted for quick reference.
---
### How to Use This Indicator?
1. **Add to Your Chart**:
- Apply the indicator to any financial instrument and time frame on TradingView.
2. **Set the Lookback Period**:
- Configure the "Lookback Bars" setting to define how many bars the indicator should analyze.
3. **Configure the UTC Offset**:
- Align the indicator with your preferred time zone by setting the appropriate UTC offset (e.g., `2` for UTC+2).
4. **Enable Background Highlighting (Optional)**:
- Turn on "Enable Background Highlighting" to visually highlight the max and min hours on the chart.
5. **Analyze the Table**:
- Use the table to identify consistent hourly trends and make informed trading decisions based on historical data.
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### Practical Use Cases
- **Volatility Analysis**:
- Identify the hours of highest activity or price movement to create a more effective trading plan.
- **Market Timing**:
- Optimize entry and exit points by focusing on the hours with the highest or lowest average changes.
- **Custom Strategy Development**:
- Incorporate hourly averages into your trading strategies for greater precision.
---
### Example (BTC/USD)
1. You are analyzing the **BTC/USD pair** and set the **UTC Offset** to `2` (UTC+2) to match your local time zone.
2. The indicator calculates and identifies:
- **10:00-11:00 (UTC+2)** as the hour with the highest average price increase (e.g., +0.85%).
- **14:00-15:00 (UTC+2)** as the hour with the lowest average price change (e.g., -0.65%).
3. Based on this information:
- You decide to **closely monitor 10:00-11:00** for potential bullish activity or upward momentum.
- You prepare for **14:00-15:00** to act cautiously or position for potential bearish movements.
---
### Important Notes
- **This indicator does not provide financial or investment advice.**
- It is intended solely for **educational purposes** to assist traders in analyzing historical price data.
- Always consider additional market factors, perform your own research, and consult with a financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
---
This description emphasizes that the indicator calculates **hourly averages**, while also including a disclaimer clarifying its educational purpose. It’s suitable for publication on TradingView.
Crypto Price Volatility Range# Cryptocurrency Price Volatility Range Indicator
This TradingView indicator is a visualization tool for tracking historical volatility across multiple major cryptocurrencies.
## Features
- Real-time volatility tracking for 14 major cryptocurrencies
- Customizable period and standard deviation multiplier
- Individual color coding for each currency pair
- Optional labels showing current volatility values in percentage
## Supported Cryptocurrencies
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Avalanche (AVAX)
- Dogecoin (DOGE)
- Hype (HYPE)
- Ripple (XRP)
- Binance Coin (BNB)
- Cardano (ADA)
- Tron (TRX)
- Chainlink (LINK)
- Shiba Inu (SHIB)
- Toncoin (TON)
- Sui (SUI)
- Stellar (XLM)
## Settings
- **Period**: Timeframe for volatility calculation (default: 20)
- **Standard Deviation Multiplier**: Multiplier for standard deviation (default: 1.0)
- **Show Labels**: Toggle label display on/off
## Calculation Method
The indicator calculates volatility using the following method:
1. Calculate daily logarithmic returns
2. Compute standard deviation over the specified period
3. Annualize (multiply by √252)
4. Convert to percentage (×100)
## Usage
1. Add the indicator to your TradingView chart
2. Adjust parameters as needed
3. Monitor volatility lines for each cryptocurrency
4. Enable labels to see precise current volatility values
## Notes
- This indicator displays in a separate window, not as an overlay
- Volatility values are annualized
- Data for each currency pair is sourced from USD pairs
Ultimate Volatility RateUltimate Volatility Rate
This indicator measures the volatility of price movements.
Support and Resistance Identification:
High volatility periods indicate larger price movements, which can be useful in assessing the potential for support and resistance levels to be broken.
Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Calculations:
The average volatility can be used to calculate dynamic Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels:
SL: Placing it at a certain volatility multiplier below/above the entry price.
TP: Setting it at a certain volatility multiplier below/above the entry price.
For example:
SL: Entry price +/- (UVR × 1.5)
TP: Entry price +/- (UVR × 2)
Market Condition Analysis:
When the indicator value is high, it suggests that the market is volatile (active).
When the value is low, it indicates the market is in consolidation (sideways movement).
This information helps traders decide whether to take trend-following or consolidation-based positions.
Trend Reversal Monitoring:
A sudden increase in volatility often signals the start of a strong trend.
Conversely, a decrease in volatility can signal the slowing down or end of a trend.
Conditional Volatility Explosion/ContractionThis indicator identifies zones of potential volatility expansion by analyzing the contraction and expansion of volatility bands, which are conditioned by the relationship of the price to moving averages
Volatility Squeeze: When the bands contract, it indicates a potential buildup in market tension, often preceding a significant price movement.
Volatility Expansion: When the bands expand, it signals the release of built-up tension, often resulting in increased volatility.
Trend Confirmation: The bands are active only when the price aligns with the moving average condition, helping to filter out less relevant signals during non-trending markets.
Upper Band: Displays as a red band when the volatility condition is met.
Represents the upper boundary of potential price action during high volatility.
Lower Band: Displays as a green band when the volatility condition is met.
Represents the lower boundary of potential price action during high volatility.
Fill Areas: The areas between the EMA and the bands are filled with transparent colors:
Red for the upper fill.
Green for the lower fill.
These highlights help visualize zones of potential volatility explosion.
Bayesian Price Projection Model [Pinescriptlabs]📊 Dynamic Price Projection Algorithm 📈
This algorithm combines **statistical calculations**, **technical analysis**, and **Bayesian theory** to forecast a future price while providing **uncertainty ranges** that represent upper and lower bounds. The calculations are designed to adjust projections by considering market **trends**, **volatility**, and the historical probabilities of reaching new highs or lows.
Here’s how it works:
🚀 Future Price Projection
A dynamic calculation estimates the future price based on three key elements:
1. **Trend**: Defines whether the market is predisposed to move up or down.
2. **Volatility**: Quantifies the magnitude of the expected change based on historical fluctuations.
3. **Time Factor**: Uses the logarithm of the projected period (`proyeccion_dias`) to adjust how time impacts the estimate.
🧠 **Bayesian Probabilistic Adjustment**
- Conditional probabilities are calculated using **Bayes' formula**:
\
This models future events using conditional information:
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time high** if the price is trending upward.
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time low** if the price is trending downward.
- These probabilities refine the future price estimate by considering:
- **Higher volatility** increases the likelihood of hitting extreme levels (highs/lows).
- **Market trends** influence the expected price movement direction.
🌟 **Volatility Calculation**
- Volatility is measured using the **ATR (Average True Range)** indicator with a 14-period window. This reflects the average amplitude of price fluctuations.
- To express volatility as a percentage, the ATR is normalized by dividing it by the closing price and multiplying it by 200.
- Volatility is then categorized into descriptive levels (e.g., **Very Low**, **Low**, **Moderate**, etc.) for better interpretation.
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🎯 **Deviation Limits (Upper and Lower)**
- The upper and lower limits form a **projected range** around the estimated future price, providing a framework for uncertainty.
- These limits are calculated by adjusting the ATR using:
- A user-defined **multiplier** (`factor_desviacion`).
- **Bayesian probabilities** calculated earlier.
- The **square root of the projected period** (`proyeccion_dias`), incorporating the principle that uncertainty grows over time.
🔍 **Interpreting the Model**
This can be seen as a **dynamic probabilistic model** that:
- Combines **technical analysis** (trends and ATR).
- Refines probabilities using **Bayesian theory**.
- Provides a **visual projection range** to help you understand potential future price movements and associated uncertainties.
⚡ Whether you're analyzing **volatile markets** or confirming **bullish/bearish scenarios**, this tool equips you with a robust, data-driven approach! 🚀
Español :
📊 Algoritmo de Proyección de Precio Dinámico 📈
Este algoritmo combina **cálculos estadísticos**, **análisis técnico** y **la teoría de Bayes** para proyectar un precio futuro, junto con rangos de **incertidumbre** que representan los límites superior e inferior. Los cálculos están diseñados para ajustar las proyecciones considerando la **tendencia del mercado**, **volatilidad** y las probabilidades históricas de alcanzar nuevos máximos o mínimos.
Aquí se explica su funcionamiento:
🚀 **Proyección de Precio Futuro**
Se realiza un cálculo dinámico del precio futuro estimado basado en tres elementos clave:
1. **Tendencia**: Define si el mercado tiene predisposición a subir o bajar.
2. **Volatilidad**: Determina la magnitud del cambio esperado en función de las fluctuaciones históricas.
3. **Factor de Tiempo**: Usa el logaritmo del período proyectado (`proyeccion_dias`) para ajustar cómo el tiempo afecta la estimación.
🧠 **Ajuste Probabilístico con la Teoría de Bayes**
- Se calculan probabilidades condicionales mediante la fórmula de **Bayes**:
\
Esto permite modelar eventos futuros considerando información condicional:
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo máximo histórico** si el precio sube.
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo mínimo histórico** si el precio baja.
- Estas probabilidades ajustan la estimación del precio futuro considerando:
- **Mayor volatilidad** aumenta la probabilidad de alcanzar niveles extremos (máximos/mínimos).
- **La tendencia del mercado** afecta la dirección esperada del movimiento del precio.
🌟 **Cálculo de Volatilidad**
- La volatilidad se mide usando el indicador **ATR (Average True Range)** con un período de 14 velas. Este indicador refleja la amplitud promedio de las fluctuaciones del precio.
- Para obtener un valor porcentual, el ATR se normaliza dividiéndolo por el precio de cierre y multiplicándolo por 200.
- Además, se clasifica esta volatilidad en categorías descriptivas (e.g., **Muy Baja**, **Baja**, **Moderada**, etc.) para facilitar su interpretación.
🎯 **Límites de Desviación (Superior e Inferior)**
- Los límites superior e inferior representan un **rango proyectado** en torno al precio futuro estimado, proporcionando un marco para la incertidumbre.
- Estos límites se calculan ajustando el ATR según:
- Un **multiplicador** definido por el usuario (`factor_desviacion`).
- Las **probabilidades condicionales** calculadas previamente.
- La **raíz cuadrada del período proyectado** (`proyeccion_dias`), lo que incorpora el principio de que la incertidumbre aumenta con el tiempo.
---
🔍 **Interpretación del Modelo**
Este modelo se puede interpretar como un **modelo probabilístico dinámico** que:
- Integra **análisis técnico** (tendencias y ATR).
- Ajusta probabilidades utilizando **la teoría de Bayes**.
- Proporciona un **rango de proyección visual** para ayudarte a entender los posibles movimientos futuros del precio y su incertidumbre.
⚡ Ya sea que estés analizando **mercados volátiles** o confirmando **escenarios alcistas/bajistas**, ¡esta herramienta te ofrece un enfoque robusto y basado en datos! 🚀
Same Day Price Volatility [5ema]Indicator visualizes the price volatility of the current day alongside historical volatility patterns of the same weekday across previous weeks. It highlights high, low, and total volatility ranges with interactive boxes, labels, and average lines for easy analysis.
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A. How to Calculate?
*Current Day Volatility:
High Volatility: High − Open
Low Volatility: Low − Open
Total Volatility: High − Low
*Historical Volatility:
The script scans historical data for the same weekday over the past number weeks (default: 12 weeks).
It calculates the high, low, and total volatility for each historical same day.
Average Lines:
Averages for high, low, and total volatility are calculated from historical values and plotted as dotted lines.
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B. How to Set Up?
Inputs:
Weeks Back (nb): Number of past weeks to include in historical calculations (default: 12).
Position (pos): Horizontal offset for displaying boxes and labels (default: 50).
Colors: Customize box colors for high, low, and total volatility ranges.
=====
C. How to Use?
Analyze Current Day Volatility:
The script displays boxes for today's high, low, and total volatility relative to the opening price.
Labels provide detailed tooltips for easy interpretation.
Compare Historical Patterns:
Historical volatility boxes for the same weekday are plotted for up to number weeks.
Labels display the exact date and volatility values for each historical day.
Utilize Average Volatility Lines:
Use the average lines to compare today's performance against historical averages for high, low, and total volatility.
Customizing Visualization:
Adjust the pos input to reposition the boxes and labels if overlapping with price data.
Modify the colors to suit your preferred visual style.
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This indicator is for reference only, you need your own method and strategy.
If you have any questions, please let me know in the comments.
Volatility % (Standard Deviation of Returns)This script takes closing prices of candles to measure the Standard Deviation (σ) which is then used to calculate the volatility by taking the stdev of the last 30 candles and multiplying it by the root of the trading days in a year, month and week. It then multiplies that number by 100 to show a percentage.
Default settings are annual volatility (252 candles, red), monthly volatility (30 candles, blue) and weekly volatility (5 candles, green) if you use daily candles. It is open source so you can increase the number of candles with which the stdev is calculated, and change the number of the root that multiplies the stdev.
Z Value AlertZ Value Alert analyzes daily price movements by evaluating fluctuations relative to historical volatility. It calculates the daily percentage change in the closing price, the average of this change over 252 days, and the standard deviation. Using these values, a Z-Score is calculated, indicating how much the current price change deviates from the historical range of fluctuations.
The user can set a threshold in standard deviations (Z-Score). When the absolute Z-Score exceeds this threshold, a significant movement is detected, indicating increased volatility. The Z-Score is visualized as a histogram, and an alert can be triggered when a significant movement occurs.
The number of trading days used to calculate historical volatility is adjustable, allowing the Sigma Move Alert to be tailored to various trading strategies and analysis periods.
Additionally, a dropdown option for the calculation method is available in the input menu, allowing the user to select between:
Normal: Calculates the percentage change in closing prices without using the logarithm.
Logarithmic: Uses the natural logarithm of daily returns. This method is particularly suitable for longer timeframes and scientific analyses, as logarithmic returns are additive.
These comprehensive features allow for precise customization of the Sigma Move Alert to individual needs and specific market conditions.
DIVERGENCE SPOT X P.FUTURES (INVERTED VERSION) [GUSLM]Many asked me to change the positive position x negative(of "DIVERGENCE SPOT X P.FUTURES"). being maybe no intuitive for some coins and situations....
So, Now on this version you are going to have UP moves for Upwards from derivatives ( p. Futures with Higher prices than Spot prices), and Dowwards for Negative Futures derivatives. ( it will match the future funding rates probably)
The "pushs" now are in the oposite direction.
Look at the DIVERGENCE SPOT X P.FUTURES script for a better view about it.
For instance:
This version is better for normal coin and market - where the derivatives go in the direction of the price and the coin will have a positive FR(funding) when going up, and maybe sometimes negatives when going down.
The First non inverted version: is better for manipulated coins, where you have pushs and pulls, to try to build a negative funding while hold longs positions. it will go up with negative FR. - Shorters paying the longs and being liquidated in the way..
But you can chose one and adaptd to use only one fot both situations, only need to take a look on the market and define whats going on with the books and prices moves.
30D Vs 90D Historical VolatilityVolatility equals risk for an underlying asset's price meaning bullish volatility is bearish for prices while bearish volatility is bullish. This compares 30-Day Historical Volatility to 90-Day Historical Volatility.
When the 30-Day crosses under the 90-day, this is typically when asset prices enter a bullish trend.
Conversely, When the 30-Day crosses above the 90-Day, this is when asset prices enter a bearish trend.
Peaks in volatility are bullish divergences while troughs are bearish divergences.
Relative VolatilityRelative Volatility is a technical indicator designed to assess changes in market volatility by comparing fast and slow Average True Range (ATR) values. It operates by subtracting a slower ATR (e.g., 50-period ATR) from a faster ATR (e.g., 20-period ATR) and visualizing the result as a histogram. This enables traders to determine whether volatility is increasing or decreasing over time.
This indicator can help traders recognize volatility trends, which can inform decisions related to trade entries, exits, and risk management.
Interpreting Volatility Changes
Increasing Volatility: When the histogram is above zero, it indicates that the fast ATR is greater than the slow ATR, signifying an increase in short-term volatility compared to the long-term average. This may suggest heightened market activity and potential trading opportunities.
Decreasing Volatility: When the histogram is below zero, it shows that the fast ATR is less than the slow ATR, indicating a decrease in short-term volatility relative to the long-term average. This may suggest consolidating markets or reduced trading activity.
Relative Volatility assists traders in monitoring and analyzing changes in market volatility, providing insights that can enhance trading strategies and decision-making processes.
Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy Description:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is designed to leverage market volatility specifically in Bitcoin (BTC) using a combination of volatility indicators and trend-following techniques. This strategy utilizes the VIXFix (a volatility indicator adapted for crypto markets) and the BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index from BitMEX) to identify periods of high volatility, while confirming trends with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). These components work together to offer a comprehensive system that traders can use to enter positions when volatility and trends are aligned in their favor.
Key Features:
VIXFix (Volatility Index for Crypto Markets): This indicator measures the highest price of Bitcoin over a set period and compares it with the current low price to gauge market volatility. A rise in VIXFix indicates increasing market volatility, signaling that large price movements could occur.
BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index): This volatility index, provided by BitMEX, measures the volatility of Bitcoin over the past 7 days. It helps traders monitor the recent volatility trend in the market, particularly useful when making short-term trading decisions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The 50-period EMA acts as a trend indicator. When the price is above the EMA, it suggests the market is in an uptrend, and when the price is below the EMA, it suggests a downtrend.
How It Works:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when both the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators are rising, signaling increased volatility, and the price is above the 50-period EMA, confirming that the market is trending upward.
Exit: The strategy exits the position when the price crosses below the 50-period EMA, which signals a potential weakening of the uptrend and a decrease in volatility.
This strategy ensures that traders only enter positions when the volatility aligns with a clear trend, minimizing the risk of entering trades during periods of market uncertainty.
Testing and Timeframe:
This strategy has been tested on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe, which provides a longer-term perspective on market trends and volatility. However, users can adjust the timeframe according to their trading preferences. It is crucial to note that this strategy does not include comprehensive risk management, aside from the exit condition when the price crosses below the EMA. Users are strongly advised to implement their own risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to safeguard their positions during high volatility periods.
Utility:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is particularly well-suited for traders who aim to capitalize on the high volatility often seen in the Bitcoin market. By combining volatility measurements (VIXFix and BVOL7D) with a trend-following mechanism (EMA), this strategy helps identify optimal moments for entering and exiting trades. This approach ensures that traders participate in potentially profitable market moves while minimizing exposure during times of uncertainty.
Use Cases:
Volatility-Based Entries: Traders looking to take advantage of market volatility spikes will find this strategy useful for timing entry points during market swings.
Trend Confirmation: By using the EMA as a confirmation tool, traders can avoid entering trades that go against the trend, which can result in significant losses during volatile market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy exits when price falls below the EMA, it is important to recognize that this is not a full risk management system. Traders should use caution and integrate additional risk measures, such as stop-losses and position sizing, to better manage potential losses.
How to Use:
Step 1: Monitor the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators. When both are rising and the Bitcoin price is above the EMA, the strategy will trigger a long entry, indicating that the market is experiencing increased volatility with a confirmed uptrend.
Step 2: Exit the position when the price drops below the 50-period EMA, signaling that the trend may be reversing or weakening, reducing the likelihood of continued upward price movement.
This strategy is open-source and is intended to help traders navigate volatile market conditions, particularly in Bitcoin, using proven indicators for volatility and trend confirmation.
Risk Disclaimer:
This strategy has been tested on the daily timeframe of Bitcoin, but users should be aware that it does not include built-in risk management except for the below-EMA exit condition. Users should be extremely cautious when using this strategy and are encouraged to implement their own risk management, such as using stop-losses, position sizing, and setting appropriate limits. Trading involves significant risk, and this strategy does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test any strategy in a demo environment before applying it to live markets.
