Natural Gas – Trend Shift in Progress?After being bearish bearish for a while, Natural Gas has broken out of the descending red trendline, signaling a clear shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
What stands out here is how price reacted after the breakout. Instead of selling off again, it held above the recent support zone and started building higher structure.
As long as this new bullish structure holds, the bias remains to the upside, with room for continuation toward higher levels. Any pullbacks that stay above support are, for me, opportunities to watch.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Energy Commodities
UKOIL/BRENT Chart Shows That OIL Can RallyI am using UKOIL/BRENT chart because there is a direct correlation between this and any other USOIL/WTI chart.
What we have are:
1. It has been falling in a wedge pattern and is coiling. Hence a breakout sooner or later is expected.
2. It has reached an FCO zone which is acting as a good support. The price has started to form a possible double bottom this week.
3. We have Trend Line support which price has not been able to break though.
This presents a very good medium to longer bullish opportunity on OIL and associated sectors
Lets wait and watch and always this is not and advice but just an observation. Risk management is extremely important as always.
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Natural Gas - Supply Fears? Natural Gas had one of the largest moves i have ever seen in one day.
Fear has spread into the nat gas market on supply fears since tensions have been rising around NATO / USA / EU....
With tarrifs being threatened one area that the EU remains vulnerable is their energy consumption.
We closed our AMEX:UNG calls today for over 900% locking in extraordinary gains...
We sold our AMEX:BOIL for 31% gain...
Nat Gas equities remain interesting and still a buy if this price holds / consolidates.
WTI OIL initiating a +10% rally.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up, whose last Bullish Leg hit and got rejected exactly on the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). The resulting correction/ Bearish Leg found Support on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and given that the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) was kept intact, we expect that to initiate the new Bullish Leg.
The 1D RSI being above its MA (yellow trend-line) supports further upside and given that the previous Bullish Leg rose by +11.85%, we expect a similar development for the current one, targeting $65.50.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Confirmed CHoCH
It appears that WTI Crude Oil will rise.
The price bounced strongly after the last test
of the underlined horizontal support.
A confirmed bullish change of character, accompanied
by an imbalance, provides a strong confirmation.
I expect a pullback to 61.0 level.
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WTI Outlook: Shifting Geopolitical Risk PremiumsWith headlines shifting away from U.S. strike risks against Iran and refocusing on Greenland acquisition threats—alongside EU opposition and tariff rhetoric—put option volume surged above calls. This occurred amid an overall decline in both volume and open interest in crude oil options, according to CME data for contracts expiring March 2026.
As long as headlines remain detached from short-term supply disruption risks, early 2026 oversupply narratives are expected to dominate, in alignment with tariff risks.
From a weekly perspective, crude prices continue to trade below a key resistance level and under the RSI 50 neutral threshold, reflecting neutral-bearish momentum until a decisive breakout materializes on both price and momentum indicators.
The key level remains the 62.20 high, reached during U.S.–Iran escalation risks. This level also aligns with the mid-zone of a duplicated descending channel, extending between the highs of June 2025 and the lows of December 2025.
A decisive hold above this level would be expected to extend gains toward the upper boundary of the broader downtrend channel in place since 2023, targeting:
• 64.70 (upper channel boundary since June 2026)
• 66.90 (upper channel boundary since 2023)
• These projections are derived using Fibonacci extensions measured between the April 2025 lows, June 2025 highs, and December 2025 lows.
The primary trend bias remains bearish, consistent with structural oversupply risks, unless a sustained hold above the highlighted resistance levels emerges to shift the dominant narrative.
On the downside, 58 and 55 remain critical support levels. A break below these zones could expose the lower boundary of the long-term channel dating back to September 2023, at 53 and 49, offering another potential dip-buying opportunity
- Razan Hilal, CMT
USOIL Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 60.199.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 59.190 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
The 2026 Gas Crisis: Texas Freezes and Europe Runs Dry
Going long on March Natural Gas futures at 2.95.
1) Weather Current models (ECMWF and GFS) show the formation of a blocking anticyclone. This is not just a short-term frost, but a prolonged cold that will linger in key consumption regions (Midwest, Northeast) at least until February 5–8.
2) Production Current models show the formation of a blocking anticyclone. This is not just a short-term frost, but a prolonged cold that will linger in key consumption regions at least until February 5–8. If the frost lasts for another 48–72 hours (as confirmed by the AO index), production could fall to 105 Bcf/d. Every lost unit (Bcf) under conditions of record demand is a direct driver of growth.
3) Export Corpus Christi (Train 5): Commissioning work began on the 5th line on January 14. This adds a constant demand of ~0.7 Bcf/d to the system (with potential up to 1.5 Bcf/d at full load). Exports will reach record levels in March.
4) Current Status of European UGS (Underground Gas Storage) Fill level: EU average is ~50.4% – 52% (according to GIE AGSI data). For comparison: at the same time in 2025, the level was above 65%. Due to prolonged cold weather and periods of low wind (Dunkelflaute), storage withdrawals in January are proceeding at rates 1.5–2 times higher than the norm. If Europe ends the winter with 20-25% in UGS, it will have to inject 35–40 billion m³ more gas in the summer than last year. This will create massive demand as early as March-April.
Blocking anticyclones (High-pressure blocking) over Greenland and Scandinavia look stable. This means that the cold pattern in Europe will last at least until February 5–10.
A negative AO "locks" heat over the Atlantic and "pushes" Arctic air masses onto the European continent. This leads to temperature anomalies 5–8°C below normal in Germany, France, and the Benelux countries.
The second cold wave (February) may turn out to be drier and frostier, which is critical for wind generation (Dunkelflaute), forcing power engineers to burn more gas.
We are moving along the lower bound of the historical range. At the current withdrawal rate (~607 million cubic meters per day), Europe risks reaching the 30% level as early as mid-February, which is a month earlier than usual. If current withdrawal rates persist, Europe will reach the 22-24% level by March 31 with a probability of 51%.
SUMMARY European UGS (Germany, France) have dropped to ~42%, the lowest figure in 5 years, and withdrawals are occurring at double speed. Total US demand (January 20–21) hit a historical high of 184 Bcf/d. With current production at 107 Bcf/d, the gap is being covered by massive withdrawals from UGS. The surplus of +106 Bcf (relative to the 5-year norm) that existed on Friday will be completely liquidated by the end of this week. The market is shifting from a state of "surplus" to a state of "massive deficit."
March is currently pricing in the risks that gas might not be sufficient for normal UGS filling in the summer of 2026.
OIL face persistent oversupply pressureThe latest IEA monthly Oil Market Report signals that, although the agency has nudged up its 2026 global oil‑demand growth forecast to about 930,000 barrels per day from roughly 860,000 previously, the market is still expected to sit in a sizeable surplus this year, with supply outpacing demand and global inventories continuing to build.
The IEA attributes the stronger demand mainly to lower oil prices, a recovery in petrochemical feedstock use and a normalization in global activity after last year’s tariff disruptions, but it also projects global supply to rise by around 2.5 million barrels per day to nearly 109 million, leaving a large, though slightly narrower, glut than in its prior report.
As a result, the agency notes that benchmark crude prices remain well below year‑earlier levels because “bloated” onshore and floating stocks provide a significant buffer against geopolitical risks, likely keeping upward price moves in check unless there is a major supply shock.
Technical side:
USOIL breached above 60.00 and formed higher swings after bouncing from EMA21. Widening bullish EMAs signal a potential continuation of the uptrend.
If USOIL closes above 61.20, the price may retest the next resistance at 62.20.
Alternatively, staying below 61.20 may keep USOIL consolidating within the range of 60.00-61.20.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
Nat Gas: To The Moon - Next Stop $6?! NYMEX:NG1! NYMEX:NGG2026 Few of us thought this day would come... there were dark spots for bulls after one of the earliest & coldest starts to winter on record. But we were quickly disappointed when a blow torch got taken to the weather models in December 2025.
However, those of us who held onto the bleak speck of hope for winters return... have been deeply rewarded, and we can say with the reclaiming of $5. Gentleman... WINTER 2026 Has Arrived!
In the face of a structural downtrend...Old Man Winter... is back, thanks to the POLAR VORTEX!
Here's a few quotes from Industry News Source Natural Gas Intelligence, if you aren't convinced yet that this rally has legs to stand on:
“(LNG Feedgas) Flows were off record levels around 20 Bcf/d, though, as the severe cold limited some activity at midweek.
Production, meanwhile, tracked at about 107 Bcf on Wednesday, per Wood Mackenzie. That was down nearly 3 Bcf from the monthly rate and reflected in part slowing production activity amid freezing conditions. Risk of further reductions loomed, NatGasWeather said, noting “the likely loss of numerous Bcf in production due to freeze-offs.
" Multiple pipeline operators issued weather alerts and operation flow orders as frigid conditions grew entrenched.
“Extreme cold-related outages are most likely to occur in the Permian Basin, the Haynesville Shale, Oklahoma, and the Northeast,” Wood Mackenzie analysts said. “ -NGI
“GasFundies principal analyst Bart Roy Burk is even more aggressive, telling NGI his current withdrawal estimate for next week stands at 414 Bcf. Projected heating degree days (HDD) for the period rank among the top five in nearly 80 years, he noted.
Weather models show the cold settling in for most of the week rather than as a brief cold shot.
“Fundamentals for the week, before the full effect of freeze-offs and some offsetting demand curtailments, point to a Lower 48 draw of more than 400 Bcf,” Burk said. “The way I see it, the week ending Jan. 30 will be a new record large draw.”
Besides the 359 Bcf record pull in January 2018, only three reporting weeks in EIA history have seen withdrawals exceed 300 Bcf, two of them in the past two years. Winter Storm Uri in February 2021 drove a 338 Bcf pull, while the past two Januarys saw pulls of 326 Bcf in 2024 and 321 Bcf in 2025.“-NGI
The Rise of Oil Prices from $60 to $67Hello dear one,
missed you so much sorry for not
writing to you
sooner...
This week has been crazy am so broke
and meanwhile i had to spend my
last cash to fix
my laptop and now its fixed thank God.
Also i had to take a long walk
to really need to decompress
i have been so stressed
because of my luck of bread
and cash so am hoping
this trade will complete my stomach
I was so happy last year because of
my Gold and silver trade.
But i had to stop my journey
in order to learn how to trade
the whole market
I have a feeling silver
will crash in February
Silver always crashes in February
And when it crashes that's
when you see the rise of bitcoin
and commodities like oil.
This commodity is very
important
i saw the rise in momentum
and took the trade
This profit i will hold for as long
as it hits above the 1.6 on
the Fibonacci -shaded red
That is my take profit area
Also take note of the
Stochastic+RSI.
So my system to trade is simple
with the following 3 steps:
1-Fibonacci
2-Trend-lines
3-Stochastic+RSI
Thats the system
that i used to find this
commodity to trade.
Remember oil
is a very important commodity
this is why the current sitting
USA president
had to capture and bring
to trail
another president
that was trying to
manipulate this FREE market
When you manipulate
the price of oil
you have to power to destroy
a nation
this is why its important
that you know how to
trade commodities.
such as Oil
Rocket boost this content
to learn more
Disclaimer:Trading is risky
please more about
take profit and risk management
Also feel free to use a simulation
trading account.
Nano Nuclear Energy (NNE) – Long-Term Thematic PlayNano Nuclear Energy NASDAQ:NNE is developing portable micro nuclear reactors targeting remote locations, military operations, data centers, and critical infrastructure. As AI, defense, and energy security rise to the top of national agendas, the demand for reliable baseload power is accelerating.
Nuclear energy is emerging as the only scalable, long-term solution—and NNE sits directly in this high-potential niche.
🔧 Technical Structure & Levels
This is not a short-term trade, but a long-term positioning play aligned with multi-year macro themes.
Bullish above: $26.00–$30.00
Pullback zone to watch: ~$30.00
Could form a right shoulder, offering a high-probability re-entry area
Target range: $80.00–$90.00
Risk: High beta; structure must hold above support to maintain bullish bias
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 60.33
Target Level: 59.72
Stop Loss: 60.74
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Crude Oil – Sell around 60.50, target 58.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently returned to its previous range-bound pattern on the daily chart. This range-bound movement has lasted for several months. Consider selling crude oil at 60.50 today. The bearish outlook for crude oil remains unchanged, and this view can be maintained as long as the daily chart doesn't break 62.00. Pay attention to the upcoming inventory data.
Fundamental Analysis:
This week's data is mostly routine and will have little impact on the market. Geopolitical factors also have little influence.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 60.50, target 58.00-55.00
OIL INDIA BUY ON DIP WITH triangle support lineAs per my personal analysis OIL INDIA can be buy on dip.
Oil India Ltd is a Maharatna public sector oil & gas company engaged in upstream exploration, development, production and associated midstream activities.
• Current price range ~₹430–440 per share.
• 52-week range roughly ₹325–492, showing volatility and historical upside potential.
• Dividend yield ~2.5–2.7%.
• Valuation — P/E ~11-12x, PB ~1.25-1.3x, moderate leverage profile
As per technical it is in the early stage of ascending triangle which if it break out than upside is minimum 30-35% with SL can be placed at 10% lower side.
I am Not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst. Views shared are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Crude Oil – Sell near 60.50, target 58.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Continue to sell on rallies in crude oil. Yesterday's crude oil contract settlement was completed, and the new contracts offered no surprises to the market. Continue to sell at higher prices, focusing on the resistance level of 60.50. Crude oil has returned to its previous trading range, and it's almost certain that it will be difficult to break out of this range in the short term.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent geopolitical news seems to have calmed down considerably, and the market hasn't fallen as a result. Pay attention to the Federal Reserve's new monetary policy.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell near 60.50, target 58.00-55.00.
WTI(20260120)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
According to sources who spoke to CNBC on Monday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell plans to appear before the U.S. Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments. The case centers on whether President Trump has the authority to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook from her post.
Powell's planned appearance comes as he faces a criminal investigation by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Columbia for his involvement in a multi-billion dollar renovation project at the Federal Reserve headquarters and related congressional testimony. The Associated Press first reported Powell's plans.
It is extremely rare for a Federal Reserve chairman to personally appear for oral arguments in such a case. However, the question of whether a president can remove a Federal Reserve governor in the manner Trump has attempted is considered within the Fed to be a potentially fundamental issue concerning the central bank's survival.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
59.14
Support and Resistance Levels:
60.17
59.79
59.54
58.75
58.50
58.11
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 59.54, consider going long with a first target price of 59.79.
If the price breaks below 59.14, consider going short with a first target price of 58.75.
US OIL: Bullish Break Out Potential?In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the US OIL for the week of Jan. 19-24th.
US Crude Oil has been sideways for over 3 years. Accumulating. April '25 there was a significant
sweep of sell side liquidity, followed by an impulsive move to the high of the consolidation. Manipulation. A correction to the previous move followed to the .705 fib (Optimal Trade Entry).
If we get a significant move higher from current levels, this could be the start of the 3rd phase of price action.... distribution.
AMD ..... is what I am looking for.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US OIL: Bullish Break Out Potential?US Crude Oil has been sideways for over 3 years. Accumulating. April '25 there was a significant sweep of sell side liquidity, followed by an impulsive move to the high of the consolidation. Manipulation. A correction to the previous move followed to the .705 fib (Optimal Trade Entry).
If we get a significant move higher from current levels, this could be the start of the 3rd phase of price action.... distribution.
AMD ..... is what I am looking for.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NATURAL GAS Epic Short Squeeze? Natural gas on Friday closed near the lows of the session but hitting extreme support.
Over the weekend news hit the tape about colder weather reports and increased snow.
This has sent Nat gas roaring up over double digits.
In our group we swung UNG 10.50 calls which should be up over 1000%
There is a strong thesis that this week the shorts will be caught off guard and forced to cover which could add more fuel to the fire.
The inventory report on Thursday will be interesting to see and price may stay firm into the report.






















