ridethepig | CAD Market Commentary 2020.01.09

Interesting price action in USDCAD after another round of soft data from Canada. Poloz has a lot of work to do tonight if BoC are to move as rate markets are materially underpriced, especially on the front end. Expecting a dovish ‘fireside’ with early signs of encouraging demand above 1.30 this morning. Starting to cover shorts after the break through 1.304x has opened a move towards 1.31 and 1.317x, the original entries in the 2020 macro map:

USDCAD LMT BUY 1.304x => TP1 1.310x => TP2 1.317x | STP 1.299x

The reflation theme which is a bi-product of the dollar devaluation allowed CAD to outperform in the immediate term however now USD is in full control as CAD macro prints have started to turn down. As long as USD remains in first gear we will have room to test the topside again, as there are two sides to the currency pairs, rather than CAD strength in this move we are trading USD weakness.

As usual jump into the comments with your charts and questions to open the discussion, best of luck all those trading live and thanks for keeping the support coming with likes!!!

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First targets here at 1.310x ... well done bulls

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All closed on the trail, a quick single with USD and CAD news combo.