21 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - stance corrected to neutral
On our last day’s report we discussed the possibility of Nifty staying above the 19309 levels. It was with great difficulty that we got a closing below 19309 on Friday, today we opened right there and then had a good rally till 19370 levels.
Immediately we started reversing and fell below water by 10.10. The price action is similar to the 14.00 to 15.00 period. The change in stance did not come in the opening 1hr candle, thats because we did not have a perfect candle outside of the resistance line.
From 10.15 - the path that Nifty took was magical, we rose 129pts ~ 0.67% from the day’s low to high with no real pullback till 15.00. The 2nd hourly candle gave the change in stance signal i.e from bearish to neutral.
On the 1hr TF, Nifty is back in the falling wedge pattern (which is a bullish case). We need to wait for a perfect bullish signal - once we reach the convergence of the descending trendline and the horizontal support, it should break out.
Bears have a case if they can bring down the prices below 19309 again and keep it there for another 1 to 2 days. My stance for tomorrow stands corrected to neutral from bearish.
Immediately we started reversing and fell below water by 10.10. The price action is similar to the 14.00 to 15.00 period. The change in stance did not come in the opening 1hr candle, thats because we did not have a perfect candle outside of the resistance line.
From 10.15 - the path that Nifty took was magical, we rose 129pts ~ 0.67% from the day’s low to high with no real pullback till 15.00. The 2nd hourly candle gave the change in stance signal i.e from bearish to neutral.
On the 1hr TF, Nifty is back in the falling wedge pattern (which is a bullish case). We need to wait for a perfect bullish signal - once we reach the convergence of the descending trendline and the horizontal support, it should break out.
Bears have a case if they can bring down the prices below 19309 again and keep it there for another 1 to 2 days. My stance for tomorrow stands corrected to neutral from bearish.
