EUR/USD Analysis and Potential Scenarios - August 7, 2024

Overview:
This analysis focuses on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart, highlighting key technical levels and potential market movements. Key elements include the Break of Structure (BOS), Change of Character (CHoCH), Fair Value Gap (FVG), Fibonacci retracement levels, and notable high and low points.

Key Levels:

BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a significant shift in market structure.
CHoCH (Change of Character): Marks a change in market sentiment, often indicating a new trend.
Strong Low: A crucial support level expected to attract significant buying interest.
Weak High: A resistance level likely to be tested and possibly broken.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): An area where price is expected to return to fill the gap, ensuring fair value.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.5 (1.08936), 0.618 (1.08664), 0.786 (1.08275).
Analysis:
The chart shows a recent bullish move followed by a retracement, currently approaching the FVG zone. The Fibonacci retracement levels provide potential support areas where the price might reverse and continue upwards.

Potential Scenarios:

Bullish Scenario:

Entry Point: Consider entering a long position near the FVG zone or at one of the Fibonacci levels (0.5, 0.618, 0.786) with a confirmation signal.
Target: Aim for the weak high around 1.10000.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the strong low to manage risk effectively.
Bearish Scenario:

Entry Point: If the price fails to hold at the FVG zone and breaks below the strong low, consider entering a short position.
Target: Look for lower support levels, monitoring price action for potential reversal points.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss above the recent high to limit potential losses.
Risk Management:

Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk.
Monitor price action around key levels for confirmation before entering trades.
Adjust positions according to market developments and maintain a disciplined approach.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD pair is currently in a corrective phase, with potential for both bullish and bearish moves depending on how it interacts with the FVG and Fibonacci levels. Traders should watch these key areas closely for signals of continuation or reversal.
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