No doom, gloom or pivot. Just one aliens TA.

31 gru 2022

An alien trader landed on earth and was given a chart of the combined** US indices (futures). Luckily, and not coincidentally, he knew TA.
He had never heard of people like J.Powell and J.Cramer, or places like China, Ukraine and Russia.
this is what he saw:


Bullish:

- Broke out 'above' the main diagonal trend (bullish)
- Made a Higher High (bullish)
- Note that, on a VERY high TF, the Bull market rides on and up (see "Higher Range Frame" box)

Neutral

- Has arrived at the key POC (neutral) and is sandwiched between zones of lower past volume (LVN's)
- The 100MA/400MA was moving towards a "neutral cross" (the midpoint between the MA's is flat and not changing)

Bearish

In higher time/range frames the index has not made a new swing high. (see "Higher Range Frame" box)




NOTES
**There are multiple ways to merge ES, NQ and YM, as well as alternative indices like NYA and Wilshire 5000. The *best* option depends on what it is used for (ex. a sphere is a good model of the earth for the astronomer, but not for the mountain climber). A simple average (ES + NQ + YM)/3 is ruled out because one point has a different value for each index. To address this, each index is weighted so that a 1 point change will imply the same change in $ terms (For weights see barchart.com/futures/contract-specifications/indices
Alternative criterion for weighting include capitalization, number of stocks and beta weighting.

[i Epilogue - After watching a TA channel on You Tube for 5 min. he departed abruptly pausing only to grab a clean towel. He is believed to be following in the dolphins footsteps.