ZoharCho

RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT 19 - YOUR WIFE METAPHOR

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ZoharCho Zaktualizowano   
NASDAQ:ENPH   Enphase Energy, Inc.
This post is about market psychology, how to look at the market correctly.

To have the right perspective. This is also related to the idea of the puppet master.

So this is the metaphor:

Let us say myself sitting with a friend and his hot wife.
So I want to have sex with his wife, but obviously, because they are married, they will not agree.

So what will I do, is to suggest to them money,
so first I will offer $100 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $200 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $500 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $1000 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $10000 and the husband says YES.
So as you can see this is a rise in price. This is why the price goes up and look for a seller.
You can see this rise marked in #1 on the chart.

But then, I am a smart buyer, so I will not be a sucker and buy his wife for full price.
So immediately after I know he is WILLING to sell his wife, I go away and tell him that I am not sure his wife is worth this amount of money, so I stop wanting to buy her.
This is why the price stopped from rising between #1 and #2.

So now, the husband after being lured to sell his wife for $10000, is running after me.
And he tries to still sell his wife and get some money from me.
so first he will offer $10000 and me the buyer says no.
then he will offer $9000 and me the buyer says no.
then he will offer $8000 and me the buyer says no.
then he will offer $7000 and me the buyer says YES.
So now I am having a night with his wife for $7000.
You can see this fall in the price marked in #2 on the chart.

But the next night when I want his wife again for $7000 the husband says he is not sure it's worth it. So he doesn't sell his wife.
This is why the price stopped from falling between #2 and #3.

so first I will offer $7000 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $8000 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $10000 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $12000 and the husband says no.
then I will offer $14000 and the husband says YES.
So as you can see this is a rise in price. This is why the price goes up and look for a seller.
You can see this rise marked in #3 on the chart.

But then, I am a smart buyer, so I will not be a sucker and buy his wife for full price.
So immediately after I know he is WILLING to sell his wife, I go away and tell him that I am not sure his wife is worth this amount of money, so I stop wanting to buy her.
This is why the price stopped from rising between #3 and #4.

So now, the husband after being lured to sell his wife for $14000, is running after me.
And he tries to still sell his wife and get some money from me.
so first he will offer $14000 and me the buyer says no.
then he will offer $13000 and me the buyer says no.
then he will offer $12000 and me the buyer says YES.
So now I am having a night with his wife for $12000.
You can see this fall in the price marked in #4 on the chart.

After that, you can see the price is standing still.
This means I had many nights with his wife for $12000.
Komentarz:
This also explains why the price is moving in Zig Zags and not a straight line.
Komentarz:

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