Crude Oil Price Susceptible to Test of February Low

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The price of oil may attempt to test the February low ($71.41) as it falls for the fourth consecutive day.

Crude Oil Price Outlook

Crude extends the series of lower highs and lows from last week to push the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards oversold territory, and the oscillator may show the bearish momentum gathering pace should it push 30 for the first time this year.

A break/close below the $72.90 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to $73.20 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) region may push the price of oil towards $71.50 (38.2% Fibonacci extension), with a breach below the February low ($71.41) opening up the January low ($69.28).

Nevertheless, failure to break/close below the $72.90 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to $73.20 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) region may keep the RSI above 30, with a move above $76.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) bringing the $78.50 (50% Fibonacci retracement) to $79.00 (50% Fibonacci retracement) area on the radar.

--- Written by David Song, Strategist at FOREX.com

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