Bitcoin something here wrong

I may be wrong but my opinion is that if bitcoin is to really start a bull run, it needs to claim the $18k era before the $21k era has $16 billion in liquidity. Can be any time field. On the other hand, if there is a strong breakout, which is the $25000 area, Bitcoin must give at least one daily candle close, and then there will be an upward move. Currently, there is a global war environment, so there is a high possibility of a market drop
DYOR