f-73

So what now ? Don't worry, that's just the beginning.

Long
f-73 Zaktualizowano   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
A massive short squeeze was enough for BTC to break up both MA100 ( Blue ) and MA50 ( Green ) and move over 6300$.

This is something we saw back in 2015 and it basically confirmed the end of bear trend.

While it's highly likely we'll see a deeper "technical" pullback on the upcoming days/weeks ( as MA50 still lags under MA100 ), Bitcoin is poised to move much higher on medium term and it's quite likely to consolidate over MA20 ( red ), as it did back in 2015-2016. As you noticed MA20 did turn up already.

MA50/MA100 crossover would finally confirm a strong and firm uptrend.
Komentarz:
NOTICE
Above the latest update for my BTC medium term ( 1W ) analysis.
You can read relevant previous posts here:

January 2019:

April 2019:
Komentarz:
Technical pullback ongoing
Komentarz:
Let the pullback unfold, withiut hurrying.
As you may nitotice a topping formation ( head & shoulders ) is playing.

Komentarz:
A textbook pullback to FIB 0.618 and previous resistance ( now support ) at 6300$.
All in one night.

Good to fill some orders.

Accumulate on further weakness, wait for some consolidation.

Komentarz:
Komentarz:
Broke up the rising wedge, already up 100$.
A small gift for daytrading, enjoy.
Komentarz:
We recently had a TD Count=18 on Daily.
That's a ***very rare*** occurrence.

A TD strip > 9 or 13 means a rather long sequence of days seeing a rising price.
While this has little or no importance at all short term, it has some potentialy interesting implications for the medium term scenario.

Look at the chart below:


Here's two things i want to point out:

1) TD strips exceeding 13 ( red square ) are extremely rare on downtrends / sideway market ( a single red line span ).
2) TD strips exceeding ( all squares, except the red one ) are pretty common into uptrends ( blue line span ).
3) The first TD strip exceeding 13 sequence after a bottom usually marks the start of an uptrend ( see green squares ).

Got the message ?
We''ll see whether we have an "early bird" here or not.
Komentarz:
A shame i cannot fix the typos :(
Below the fixed message. Sorry.

--

Here's the things i want to point out:

1) TD strips exceeding 13 ( that single red square ) are extremely rare on downtrends / sideway market ( red line span ).
2) TD strips exceeding 13 ( all squares, except the red one ) are pretty common in uptrends ( blue line span ).
3) The first TD strip exceeding 13 after a bottom usually marks the start of an uptrend ( see green squares ).
Komentarz:
Short term:

Komentarz:

!!!
Komentarz:
Rising wedge and divergences shown got confirmation.
Komentarz:
Komentarz:
Healthy pullback please ?

Komentarz:
Posted elsewhere, 1 hour ago.


Hanging man + evening star in formation.
We've seen it in action already ;)
Komentarz:
To first log support.

Komentarz:
Approaching uptrend support.

Komentarz:
Medium term view, by comparison withj 2015-2016:

Komentarz:
BB bisector should be considered support.
Komentarz:

Further medium term considerations:

1) MA100 ( green ) is first true support.
2) MA50 ( blue ) still have to cross over MA100, meaning currently uprend is still fragile.
3) MA20 ( red ) is climbing fast. Once 2) is done it may become short term trend support.
Komentarz:
Rebound already over 11200$.
There's a chance it may nail 11700-12200$ area.
Komentarz:
Target area reached, crossroads ahead.
Komentarz:
Why crossroads ?

Because we had a pullback to previous support ( dotted red ), now resistance.
It's the upper bound of a broader rising wedge, with a -seemingly- smaill flag within. 12200-12500$ is resistance.

Short term price can move either way, with a slight bearish bias.
Use some caution and wait for market to pick some direction.

Komentarz:
A diamond or not a diamond ?

Komentarz:
Diamond top are among the *worst pattern to deal with*, as the may actually be half staffs as well.

Anyway, we have some noticeable risk of a topping pattern here.
So better acting accordingly and reduce risk.
Komentarz:
Alreay 500$ lower, but less resembling a diamond.
Mixed scenario.
Komentarz:
Inverted H&S, strong resistance ahead.

Komentarz:
Short term it may rebound, as 9400$ should act as support ( hopefully ).
Otherwise it would be rather ugly.

Anyway, mediium term i would expect a further low, unless 11800$ is recovered before monday.

Seems unlikely so far, we'll see.
Komentarz:
Breakout of descending channel, pullback to previous support unfolding.
Unless price breaks through 11000$ resistance area bears will keep control.

Komentarz:
Rejected already.

best bet for the bulls would be a further inverted H&S, with a right shoulder ideally above 9800$.

Anyway, unless the bulls manage to pierce through the previous support in 11k area bias keeps bearish.
Wyłączenie odpowiedzialności

Informacje i publikacje przygotowane przez TradingView lub jego użytkowników, prezentowane na tej stronie, nie stanowią rekomendacji ani porad handlowych, inwestycyjnych i finansowych i nie powinny być w ten sposób traktowane ani wykorzystywane. Więcej informacji na ten temat znajdziesz w naszym Regulaminie.