Price Prediction With Rolling Volatility [TradeDots]The "Price Prediction With Rolling Volatility" is a trading indicator that estimates future price ranges based on the volatility of price movements within a user-defined rolling window.
HOW DOES IT WORK
This indicator utilizes 3 types of user-provided data to conduct its calculations: the length of the rolling window, the number of bars projecting into the future, and a maximum of three sets of standard deviations.
Firstly, the rolling window. The algorithm amasses close prices from the number of bars determined by the value in the rolling window, aggregating them into an array. It then calculates their standard deviations in order to forecast the prospective minimum and maximum price values.
Subsequently, a loop is initiated running into the number of bars into the future, as dictated by the second parameter, to calculate the maximum price change in both the positive and negative direction.
The third parameter introduces a series of standard deviation values into the forecasting model, enabling users to dictate the volatility or confidence level of the results. A larger standard deviation correlates with a wider predicted range, thereby enhancing the probability factor.
APPLICATION
The purpose of the indicator is to provide traders with an understanding of the potential future movement of the price, demarcating maximum and minimum expected outcomes. For instance, if an asset demonstrates a substantial spike beyond the forecasted range, there's a significantly high probability of that price being rejected and reversed.
However, this indicator should not be the sole basis for your trading decisions. The range merely reflects the volatility within the rolling window and may overlook significant historical price movements. As with any trading strategies, synergize this with other indicators for a more comprehensive and reliable analysis.
Note: In instances where the number of predicted bars is exceedingly high, the lines may become scattered, presumably due to inherent limitations on the TradingView platform. Consequently, when applying three SD in your indicator, it is advised to limit the predicted bars to fewer than 80.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Zmienność
Fibonacci Trend Reversal StrategyIntroduction
This publication introduces the " Fibonacci Retracement Trend Reversal Strategy, " tailored for traders aiming to leverage shifts in market momentum through advanced trend analysis and risk management techniques. This strategy is designed to pinpoint potential reversal points, optimizing trading opportunities.
Overview
The strategy leverages Fibonacci retracement levels derived from @IMBA_TRADER's lance Algo to identify potential trend reversals. It's further enhanced by a method called " Trend Strength Over Time " (TSOT) (by @federalTacos5392b), which utilizes percentile rankings of price action to measure trend strength. This also has implemented Dynamic SL finder by utilizing @veryfid's ATR Stoploss Finder which works pretty well
Indicators:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels : Identifies critical reversal zones at 23.6%, 50%, and 78.6% levels.
TSOT (Trend Strength Over Time) : Employs percentile rankings across various timeframes to gauge the strength and direction of trends, aiding in the confirmation of Fibonacci-based signals.
ATR (Average True Range) : Implements dynamic stop-loss settings for both long and short positions, enhancing trade security.
Strategy Settings :
- Sensitivity: Set default at 18, adjustable for more frequent or sparse signals based on market volatility.
- ATR Stop Loss Finder: Multiplier set at 3.5, applying the ATR value to determine stop losses dynamically.
- ATR Length: Default set to 14 with RMA smoothing.
- TSOT Settings: Hard-coded to identify percentile ranks, with no user-adjustable inputs due to its intrinsic calculation method.
Trade Direction Options : Configurable to support long, short, or both directions, adaptable to the trader's market assessment.
Entry Conditions :
- Long Entry: Triggered when the price surpasses the mid Fibonacci level (50%) with a bullish TSOT signal.
- Short Entry: Activated when the price falls below the mid Fibonacci level with a bearish TSOT indication.
Exit Conditions :
- Employs ATR-based dynamic stop losses, calibrated according to current market volatility, ensuring effective risk management.
Strategy Execution :
- Risk Management: Features adjustable risk-reward settings and enables partial take profits by default to systematically secure gains.
- Position Reversal: Includes an option to reverse positions based on new TSOT signals, improving the strategy's responsiveness to evolving market conditions.
The strategy is optimized for the BYBIT:WIFUSDT.P market on a scalping (5-minute) timeframe, using the default settings outlined above.
I spent a lot of time creating the dynamic exit strategies for partially taking profits and reversing positions so please make use of those and feel free to adjust the settings, tool tips are also provided.
For Developers: this is published as open-sourced code so that developers can learn something especially on dynamic exits and partial take profits!
Good Luck!
Disclaimer
This strategy is shared for educational purposes and must be thoroughly tested under diverse market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Traders are advised to integrate this strategy with other analytical tools and tailor it to specific market scenarios. I was only sharing what I've crafted while strategizing over a Solana Meme Coin.
Multi Timeframe ATR IndicatorThe Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a technical analysis tool used to measure market volatility. The ATR indicator is designed to capture the degree of price movement or price volatility over a specified period of time. It does this by calculating the true range for each bar or candlestick on a chart and then taking an average of these true range values over a set period.
In the provided Pine Script code, the ATR indicator is being calculated for two different timeframes, which allows traders to compare volatility across different periods. The script includes user-defined inputs for the length of the ATR calculation and the type of smoothing (RMA or SMA) to be applied to the true range values. The 'smoothingFunc' function within the script determines whether to use the RMA (Relative Moving Average) or SMA (Simple Moving Average) based on the user's selection.
The true range for each bar is calculated as the maximum of the following three values: the difference between the current high and low, the absolute value of the difference between the current high and the previous close, and the absolute value of the difference between the current low and the previous close. This calculation is designed to ensure that gaps and limit moves are properly accounted for in the volatility measurement.
The script then uses the 'smoothingFunc' to calculate the ATR values for the two timeframes, and these values are plotted on the chart as two separate lines, allowing traders to visually assess the volatility levels.
Overall, this custom ATR indicator is a versatile tool for traders who wish to analyse market volatility and compare it across different timeframes, potentially aiding in making more informed trading decisions based on the prevailing market conditions.
VIX and SKEW RSI Moving AveragesSKEW and VIX are both indicators of market volatility and risk, but they represent different aspects.
VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) :.
The VIX is a well-known indicator for predicting future market volatility. It is calculated primarily based on S&P 500 options premiums and indicates the degree of market instability and risk.
Typically, when the VIX is high, market participants view the future as highly uncertain and expect sharp volatility in stock prices. It is generally considered an indicator of market fear.
SKEW Index :.
The SKEW is a measure of how much market participants estimate the risk of future declines in stock prices, calculated by the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) and derived from the premium on S&P 500 options.
If the SKEW is high, market participants consider the risk of future declines in stock prices to be high. This generally indicates a "fat tail at the base" of the market and suggests that the market perceives it as very risky.
These indicators are used by market participants to indicate their concerns and expectations about future stock price volatility. In general, when the VIX is high and the SKEW is high, the market is considered volatile and risky. Conversely, when the VIX is low and the SKEW is low, the market is considered relatively stable and low risk.
Inverse Relationship between SKEW and VIX
It is often observed that there is an inverse correlation between SKEW and VIX. In general, the relationship is as follows
High VIX and low SKEW: When the VIX is high and the SKEW is low, the market is considered volatile while the risk of future stock price declines is low. This indicates that the market is exposed to sharp volatility, but market participants do not expect a major decline.
Low VIX and High SKEW: A low VIX and high SKEW indicates that the market is relatively stable, while the risk of future declines in stock prices is considered high. This indicates that the market is calm, but market participants are wary of a sharp future decline.
This inverse correlation is believed to be the result of market participants' psychology and expectations affecting the movements of the VIX and SKEW. For example, when the VIX is high, it is evident that the market is volatile, and under such circumstances, people tend to view the risk of a sharp decline in stock prices as low. Conversely, when the VIX is low, the market is considered relatively stable and the risk of future declines is likely to be higher.
SKEWVIX RSIMACROSS
In order to compare the trends of the SKEW and VIX, the 50-period moving average of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was used for verification. the RSI is an indicator of market overheating or overcooling, and the 50-period moving average can be used to determine the medium- to long-term trend. This analysis reveals how the inverse correlation between the SKEW and the VIX relates to the long-term moving average of the RSI.
how to use
Moving Average Direction
Rising blue for VIXRSI indicates increased uncertainty in the market
Rising red for SKEWRSI indicates optimism and beyond
RSI moving average crossing
When the SKEW is dominant, market participants are considered less concerned about a black swan event (significant unexpected price volatility). This suggests that the market is stable and willing to take risks. On the other hand, when the VIX is dominant, it indicates increased market volatility. Investors are more concerned about market uncertainty and tend to take more conservative positions to avoid risk. The direction of the moving averages and the crossing of the moving averages of the two indicators can give an indication of the state of the market.
SKEW>VIX Optimistic/Goldilocks
VIX>SKEW Uncertainty/turbulence
The market can be judged as follows.
BestRegards
KC-MACD Entry Master @shrilssThe KC-MACD Entry Master is designed to enhance trading strategies by utilizing Keltner Channels and MACD for dynamic market analysis. This indicator excels in visually identifying market conditions with a sophisticated bar coloring system and an informative MACD Traffic Light feature.
Key Features:
- Dynamic Bar Coloring: The core feature of this indicator is its ability to adjust the color of bars based on their positioning relative to the Keltner Channels and the EMA (Exponential Moving Average). It colors bars lime or red when the closing price is within the Keltner Channels but above or below the EMA, respectively. Additionally, it uses a fuchsia color to indicate breakouts when the price extends beyond the Keltner Channels. This visual aid helps traders quickly identify potential buying or selling opportunities based on market volatility and price action.
- MACD Traffic Light: Positioned at the bottom of the chart, this unique feature displays the histogram color of the MACD, set by default to a 3/10/16 configuration—known as the 3-10 Oscillator. This Traffic Light gives traders an at-a-glance view of the underlying momentum and trend shifts, further aiding in decision-making processes.
- MACD-Based Entry Signals: By calculating the fast and slow moving averages specified by the user, the script determines MACD values and their crossover with a smoothed signal line. Entry points are then highlighted with shapes (e.g., "Buy" or "Sell") plotted on the chart when conditions are met, including alignment with the bar colors for enhanced accuracy.
Long Bar Highlighter @shrilssThe Long Bar Highlighter is designed to detect long bars that exhibit significant price expansion beyond recent price levels. It highlights bars that exceed the length of the previous four bars, marking them for their potential importance in market movements. Additionally, the indicator plots directional shapes based on the closing prices, which helps traders visualize potential upward or downward momentum. An optional ATR crossover setting refines these signals, focusing on stronger trends for more optimal trading opportunities.
FOMO Alert (Miu)This indicator won't plot anything to the chart.
Please follow steps below to set your alarms based on price range variation:
1) Add indicator to the chart
2) Go to settings
3) Choose timeframe which will be used to calculate bars
4) Choose how many bars which will be used to calculate max and min range
5) Choose max and min range variation (%) to trigger alerts
5) Choose up to 6 different symbols to get alert notification
6) Once all is set go back to the chart and click on 3 dots to set alert in this indicator, rename your alert and confirm
7) You can remove indicator after alert is set and it'll keep working as expected
What does this indicator do?
This indicator will generate alerts based on following conditions:
- If min and max prices reach the range (%) from amount of bars on timeframe set for any symbol checked it will trigger an alert.
- If next set of bars reaches higher range than before it will trigger an alert with new data
- If next set of bars doesn't reach higher range than before it will not trigger alerts, even if they are above the range set (this is to prevent the alert to keep triggering with high frequency)
Once condition is met it will send an alert with the following information:
- Symbol name (e.g: BTC, ETH, LTC)
- Range achieved (e.g: 3,03%)
- Current symbol price and current bar direction (e.g: 63,477.1 ▲)
This script will request lowest and highest prices through request.security() built-in function from all different symbols within the range set. It also requests symbols' price (close) and amount of digits (mintick) for each symbol to send alerts with correct value.
This script was developed with main purpose to send alerts when there are strong price movements and I decided to share with community so anyone can set different parameters for different purposes.
Feel free to give feedbacks on comments section below.
Enjoy!
[Sharpe projection SGM]Dynamic Support and Resistance: Traces adjustable support and resistance lines based on historical prices, signaling new market barriers.
Price Projections and Volatility: Calculates future price projections using moving averages and plots annualized standard deviation-based volatility bands to anticipate price dispersion.
Intuitive Coloring: Colors between support and resistance lines show up or down trends, making it easy to analyze quickly.
Analytics Dashboard: Displays key metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio, which measures average ROI adjusted for asset volatility
Volatility Management for Options Trading: The script helps evaluate strike prices and strategies for options, based on support and resistance levels and projected volatility.
Importance of Diversification: It is necessary to diversify investments to reduce risks and stabilize returns.
Disclaimer on Past Performance: Past performance does not guarantee future results, projections should be supplemented with other analyses.
The script settings can be adjusted according to the specific needs of each user.
The mean and standard deviation are two fundamental statistical concepts often represented in a Gaussian curve, or normal distribution. Here's a quick little lesson on these concepts:
Average
The mean (or arithmetic mean) is the result of the sum of all values in a data set divided by the total number of values. In a data distribution, it represents the center of gravity of the data points.
Standard Deviation
The standard deviation measures the dispersion of the data relative to its mean. A low standard deviation indicates that the data is clustered near the mean, while a high standard deviation shows that it is more spread out.
Gaussian curve
The Gaussian curve or normal distribution is a graphical representation showing the probability of distribution of data. It has the shape of a symmetrical bell centered on the middle. The width of the curve is determined by the standard deviation.
68-95-99.7 rule (rule of thumb): Approximately 68% of the data is within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% is within two standard deviations, and 99.7% is within three standard deviations.
In statistics, understanding the mean and standard deviation allows you to infer a lot about the nature of the data and its trends, and the Gaussian curve provides an intuitive visualization of this information.
In finance, it is crucial to remember that data dispersion can be more random and unpredictable than traditional statistical models like the normal distribution suggest. Financial markets are often affected by unforeseen events or changes in investor behavior, which can result in return distributions with wider standard deviations or non-symmetrical distributions.
Tweet/X Post Timestamp - By LeviathanThis script allows you to generate visual timestamps of X/Twitter posts directly on your chart, highlighting the precise moment an X post/tweet was made. All you have to do is copy and paste the post URL.
◽️ Use Cases:
- News Trading: Traders can use this indicator to visually align market price actions with news or announcements made on X (formerly Twitter), aiding in the analysis of news impact on market volatility.
- Behavioral Analysis: Traders studying the influence of social media on price can use the timestamps to track correlations between specific posts and market reactions.
- Proof of Predictions: Traders can use this indicator to timestamp their market forecasts shared on X (formerly Twitter), providing a visual record of their predictions relative to actual market movements. This feature allows for transparent verification of the timing and accuracy of their analyses
◽️ Process of Timestamp Calculation
The calculation of the timestamp from a tweet ID involves the following steps:
Extracting the Post ID:
The script first parses the input URL provided by the user to extract the unique ID of the tweet or X post. This ID is embedded in the URL and is crucial for determining the exact posting time.
Calculating the Timestamp:
The post ID undergoes a mathematical transformation known as a right shift by 22 bits. This operation aligns the ID's timestamp to a base reference time used by the platform.
Adding Base Offset:
The result from the right shift is then added to a base offset timestamp (1288834974657 ms, the epoch used by Twitter/X). This converts the processed ID into a UNIX timestamp reflecting the exact moment the post was made.
Date-Time Conversion:
The UNIX timestamp is further broken down into conventional date and time components (year, month, day, hour, minute, second) using calculations that account for leap years and varying days per month.
Label Placement:
Based on user settings, labels displaying the timestamp, username, and other optional information such as price changes or pivot points are dynamically placed on the chart at the bar corresponding to the timestamp.
Dise prev Gen Long/Short
This script builds levels based on the High and Low of the previous trading day; a middle line is also added, which is the average value of these data. The indicator generates a long signal when the High level of the previous day is broken, as well as a short signal when the low is broken. The idea of the indicator is to capture volatility in the crypto market. You can try small takes of 1-2% of the movement, they will be more likely to work out. The script is intended rather to search for interesting “strong” assets within a day, for further analysis of whether it is worth trading or not.
EMA Scalping StrategyEMA Slope Indicator Overview:
The indicator plots two exponential moving averages (EMAs) on the chart: a 9-period EMA and a 15-period EMA.
It visually represents the EMAs on the chart and highlights instances where the slope of each EMA exceeds a certain threshold (approximately 30 degrees).
Scalping Strategy:
Using the EMA Slope Indicator on a 5-minute timeframe for scalping can be effective, but it requires adjustments to account for the shorter time horizon.
Trend Identification: Look for instances where the 9-period EMA is above the 15-period EMA. This indicates an uptrend. Conversely, if the 9-period EMA is below the 15-period EMA, it suggests a downtrend.
Slope Analysis: Pay attention to the slope of each EMA. When the slope of both EMAs is steep (exceeds 30 degrees), it signals a strong trend. This can be a favorable condition for scalping as it suggests potential momentum.
Entry Points:
For Long (Buy) Positions: Consider entering a long position when both EMAs are sloping upwards strongly (exceeding 30 degrees) and the 9-period EMA is above the 15-period EMA. Look for entry points when price retraces to the EMAs or when there's a bullish candlestick pattern.
For Short (Sell) Positions: Look for opportunities to enter short positions when both EMAs are sloping downwards strongly (exceeding -30 degrees) and the 9-period EMA is below the 15-period EMA. Similar to long positions, consider entering on retracements or bearish candlestick patterns.
Exit Strategy: Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk, and aim for small, quick profits. Since scalping involves short-term trading, consider exiting positions when the momentum starts to weaken or when the price reaches a predetermined profit target.
Risk Management:
Scalping involves high-frequency trading with smaller profit targets, so it's crucial to implement strict risk management practices. This includes setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and not risking more than a small percentage of your trading capital on each trade.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Before implementing the strategy in live trading, backtest it on historical data to assess its performance under various market conditions. You may also consider optimizing the strategy parameters (e.g., EMA lengths) to maximize its effectiveness.
Continuous Monitoring:
Keep a close eye on market conditions and adjust your strategy accordingly. Market dynamics can change rapidly, so adaptability is key to successful scalping.
Candle Strength based on Relative Strength of EMAOverview:
The EMA-Based Relative Strength Labels indicator provides a dynamic method to visualize the strength of price movements relative to an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). By comparing the current price to the EMA, it assigns labels (A, B, C for bullish and X, Y, Z for bearish) to candles, indicating the intensity of bullish or bearish behavior.
Key Features:
Dynamic EMA Comparison: The indicator calculates the difference between the current price and the EMA, expressing it as a percentage to determine relative strength.
Configurable Thresholds: Users can set custom thresholds for strong, moderate, and low bullish or bearish movements, allowing for tailored analysis based on personal trading strategy or market behavior.
Clear Visual Labels: Each candle is labeled directly on the chart, making it easy to spot significant price movements at a glance.
Usage:
Trend Confirmation: The labels help confirm the prevailing trend's strength, aiding traders in decision-making regarding entry or exit points.
Risk Management: By identifying the strength of the price movements, traders can better manage stop-loss placements and avoid potential false breakouts.
Strategy Development: Incorporate the indicator into trading systems to enhance strategies that depend on trend strength and momentum.
How It Works:
The script calculates the EMA of the closing prices and measures the relative strength of each candle to this average.
Bullish candles above the EMA and bearish candles below the EMA are further analyzed to determine their strength based on predefined percentage thresholds.
Labels 'A', 'B', and 'C' are assigned for varying degrees of bullish strength, while 'X', 'Y', and 'Z' denote levels of bearish intensity.
Customization:
Users can adjust the EMA period and modify the strength thresholds for both bullish and bearish conditions to suit different instruments and timeframes.
Best Practices:
Combine this indicator with volume analysis and other technical tools for comprehensive market analysis.
Regularly update the thresholds based on market volatility and personal risk tolerance to maintain the effectiveness of the labels.
Pine Script Chart ViewerDisplay your custom charts exported from anywhere in TradingView.
Put your candles on candles :
var Candle candles = array.from(...)
For instance:
var Candle candles = array.from(Candle.new(2.0, 4.0, 1.0, 3.0), Candle.new(3.0, 5.0, 2.0, 4.0))
Candle details:
Candle.new(open_1, high_1, low_1, close_1)
Swing Harmony IndicatorThis indicator is called "Swing Harmony Indicator" and it calculates the average of the highest high and lowest low prices over a certain period, along with a simple moving average of the closing prices. It then plots these values on the chart, with the color of the average line dynamically changing based on whether the second average is less than or greater than the first average.
Dynamic Price Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Dynamic Price Oscillator (DPO) by Zeiierman is designed to gauge the momentum and volatility of asset prices in trading markets. By integrating elements of traditional oscillators with volatility adjustments and Bollinger Bands, the DPO offers a unique approach to understanding market dynamics. This indicator is particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions, capturing price trends, and detecting potential reversal points.
█ How It Works
The DPO operates by calculating the difference between the current closing price and a moving average of the closing price, adjusted for volatility using the True Range method. This difference is then smoothed over a user-defined period to create the oscillator. Additionally, Bollinger Bands are applied to the oscillator itself, providing visual cues for volatility and potential breakout signals.
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Confirmation
The DPO can serve as a confirmation tool for existing trends. Traders might look for the oscillator to maintain above or below its mean line to confirm bullish or bearish trends, respectively. A consistent direction in the oscillator's movement alongside price trend can provide additional confidence in the strength and sustainability of the trend.
⚪ Overbought/Oversold Conditions
With the application of Bollinger Bands directly on the oscillator, the DPO can highlight overbought or oversold conditions in a unique manner. When the oscillator moves outside the Bollinger Bands, it signifies an extreme condition.
⚪ Volatility Breakouts
The width of the Bollinger Bands on the oscillator reflects market volatility. Sudden expansions in the bands can indicate a breakout from a consolidation phase, which traders can use to enter trades in the direction of the breakout. Conversely, a contraction suggests a quieter market, which might be a signal for traders to wait or to look for range-bound strategies.
⚪ Momentum Trading
Momentum traders can use the DPO to spot moments when the market momentum is picking up. A sharp move of the oscillator towards either direction, especially when crossing the Bollinger Bands, can indicate the start of a strong price movement.
⚪ Mean Reversion
The DPO is also useful for mean reversion strategies, especially considering its volatility adjustment feature. When the oscillator touches or breaches the Bollinger Bands, it indicates a deviation from the normal price range. Traders might look for opportunities to enter trades anticipating a reversion to the mean.
⚪ Divergence Trading
Divergences between the oscillator and price action can be a powerful signal for reversals. For instance, if the price makes a new high but the oscillator fails to make a corresponding high, it may indicate weakening momentum and a potential reversal. Traders can use these divergence signals to initiate counter-trend moves.
█ Settings
Length: Determines the lookback period for the oscillator and Bollinger Bands calculation. Increasing this value smooths the oscillator and widens the Bollinger Bands, leading to fewer, more significant signals. Decreasing this value makes the oscillator more sensitive to recent price changes, offering more frequent signals but with increased noise.
Smoothing Factor: Adjusts the degree of smoothing applied to the oscillator's calculation. A higher smoothing factor reduces noise, offering clearer trend identification at the cost of signal timeliness. Conversely, a lower smoothing factor increases the oscillator's responsiveness to price movements, which may be useful for short-term trading but at the risk of false signals.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Market Trend OscillatorMarket Trend Oscillator segments the market into ranged bound and trending aspect. The threshold level segregates both types of market. With higher level, both the risk and reward lower down.
The MTO indicator, is based on Standard Deviation, difference between highest high and lowest low, ATR and ADR. There are two different volatility aspect which are:
Volatility according to the movement of one price e.g. closing price.
Volatility according to the candles.
The minimum of both these aspects gives an insight into the volatility of the market. To segregate a dynamic value with ATR and ADR is used with the threshold level. Moreover, the volatilities can be smoothed to have a smoother decision making.
Coiled Moving AveragesThis indicator detects when 3 moving averages converge and become coiled. This indicates volatility contraction which often leads to volatility expansion, i.e. large price movements.
Moving averages are considered coiled when the percent difference from each moving average to the others is less than the Coil Tolerance % input value.
This indicator is unique in that it detects when moving averages converge within a specified percent range. This is in contrast to other indicators that only detect moving average crossovers, or the distance between price and a moving average.
This indicator includes options such as:
- % difference between the MAs to be considered coiled
- type and length of MAs
- background color to indicate when the MAs are coiled
- arrows to indicate if price is above or below the MAs when they become coiled
While coiling predicts an increased probability for volatility expansion, it does not necessarily predict the direction of expansion. However, the arrows which indicate whether price is above or below the moving average coil may increase the odds of a move in that direction. Bullish alignment of the moving averages (faster MAs above the slower MAs) may also increase the odds of a bullish break, while bearish alignment may increase the odds of a bearish break.
Note that mean reversion back to the MA coil is common after initial volatility expansion. This can present an entry opportunity for traders, as mean reversion may be followed by continuation in the direction of the initial break.
Experiment with different settings and timeframes to see how coiled MAs can help predict the onset of volatility.
Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy " trading strategy represents a novel integration of two powerful technical analysis tools: the Vegas Channel and the SuperTrend indicator. This fusion creates a dynamic, adaptable strategy designed for the volatile and fast-paced cryptocurrency markets, particularly focusing on Bitcoin trading.
Unlike traditional trading strategies that rely on a static set of rules, this approach modifies the SuperTrend's sensitivity to market volatility, offering traders the ability to customize their strategy based on current market conditions. This adaptability makes it uniquely suited to navigating the often unpredictable swings in cryptocurrency valuations, providing traders with signals that are both timely and reflective of underlying market dynamics.
BTC 6h LS
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
This is an innovative approach that combines the volatility-based Vegas Channel with the trend-following SuperTrend indicator to create dynamic trading signals. This section delves deeper into the mechanics and mathematical foundations of the strategy.
Detail picture to show :
🔶 Vegas Channel Calculation
The Vegas Channel serves as the foundation of this strategy, employing a simple moving average (SMA) coupled with standard deviation to define the upper and lower bounds of the trading channel. This channel adapts to price movements, offering a visual representation of potential support and resistance levels based on historical price volatility.
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator Adjustment
Central to the strategy is the SuperTrend indicator, which is adjusted according to the width of the Vegas Channel. This adjustment is achieved by modifying the SuperTrend's multiplier based on the channel's volatility, allowing the indicator to become more sensitive during periods of high volatility and less so during quieter market phases.
🔶 Trend Determination and Signal Generation
The market trend is determined by comparing the current price with the SuperTrend values. A shift from below to above the SuperTrend line signals a potential bullish trend, prompting a "buy" signal, whereas a move from above to below indicates a bearish trend, generating a "sell" signal. This methodology ensures that trades are entered in alignment with the prevailing market direction, enhancing the potential for profitability.
BTC 6h Local
█ Trade Direction
A distinctive feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction input, allowing traders to specify whether they wish to engage in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility enables users to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, trading style, and market outlook, providing a personalized trading experience.
█ Usage
To utilize the "Vegas SuperTrend - Enhanced" strategy effectively, traders should first adjust the input settings to align with their trading preferences and the specific characteristics of the asset being traded. Monitoring the strategy's signals within the context of overall market conditions and combining its insights with other forms of analysis can further enhance its effectiveness.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (allows trading in both directions)
- ATR Period for SuperTrend: 10 (determines the length of the ATR for volatility measurement)
- Vegas Window Length: 100 (sets the length of the SMA for the Vegas Channel)
- SuperTrend Multiplier Base: 5 (base multiplier for SuperTrend calculation)
- Volatility Adjustment Factor: 5.0 (adjusts SuperTrend sensitivity based on Vegas Channel width)
These default settings provide a balanced approach suitable for various market conditions but can be adjusted to meet individual trading needs and objectives.
Trend, Momentum, Volume Delta Ratings Emoji RatingsThis indicator provides a visual summary of three key market conditions - Trend, Momentum, and Volume Delta - to help traders quickly assess the current state of the market. The goal is to offer a concise, at-a-glance view of these important technical factors.
Trend (HMA): The indicator uses a Hull Moving Average (HMA) to assess the overall trend direction. If the current price is above the HMA, the trend is considered "Good" or bullish (represented by a 😀 emoji). If the price is below the HMA, the trend is "Bad" or bearish (🤮). If the price is equal to the HMA, the trend is considered "Neutral" (😐).
Momentum (ROC): The Rate of Change (ROC) is used to measure the momentum of the market. A positive ROC indicates "Good" or bullish momentum (😀), a negative ROC indicates "Bad" or bearish momentum (🤮), and a zero ROC is considered "Neutral" (😐).
Volume Delta: The indicator calculates the difference between the current trading volume and a simple moving average of the volume (Volume Delta). If the Volume Delta is above a user-defined threshold, it is considered "Good" or bullish (😀). If the Volume Delta is below the negative of the threshold, it is "Bad" or bearish (🤮). Values within the threshold are considered "Neutral" (😐).
The indicator displays these three ratings in a compact table format in the top-right corner of the chart. The table uses color-coding to quickly convey the overall market conditions - green for "Good", red for "Bad", and gray for "Neutral".
This indicator can be useful for traders who want a concise, at-a-glance view of the current market trend, momentum, and volume activity. By combining these three technical factors, traders can get a more well-rounded understanding of the market conditions and potentially identify opportunities or areas of concern more easily.
The user can customize the indicator by adjusting the lengths of the HMA, ROC, and Volume moving average, as well as the Volume Delta threshold. The colors used in the table can also be customized to suit the trader's preferences.
Squeeze Momentum Oscillator [AlgoAlpha]🎉📈 Introducing the Squeeze Momentum Oscillator by AlgoAlpha 📉🎊
Unlock the secrets of market dynamics with our innovative Squeeze Momentum Oscillator! Crafted for those who seek to stay ahead in the fast-paced trading environment, this tool amalgamates critical market momentum and volatility indicators to offer a multifaceted view of potential market movements. Here's why it's an indispensable part of your trading toolkit:
Key Features:
🌈 Customizable Color Schemes: Easily distinguish between bullish (green) and bearish (red) momentum phases for intuitive analysis.
🔧 Extensive Input Settings: Tailor the oscillator lengths for both Underlying and Swing Momentum to match your unique trading approach.
📊 Dedicated Squeeze Settings: Leverage precise volatility insights to identify market squeeze scenarios, signaling potential breakouts or consolidations.
🔍 Advanced Divergence Detection: Utilize sophisticated algorithms to detect and visualize both bullish and bearish divergences, pointing towards possible market reversals.
📈 Hyper Squeeze Detection: Stay alert to high-momentum market movements with our hyper squeeze feature, designed to extremely suppressed market volatility.
🔔 Comprehensive Alert System: Never miss a trading opportunity with alerts for momentum changes, squeeze conditions, and more.
Quick Guide to Using the Squeeze Momentum Oscillator:
🛠 Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to your favourites. Adjust the oscillator and squeeze settings to suit your trading preferences.
📊 Market Analysis: Keep an eye on the squeeze value and momentum z-score for insights into volatility and market direction. Hyper Squeeze signals are your cue for high momentum trading opportunities.
🔔 Alerts: Configure alerts for shifts in underlying and swing momentum, as well as entry and exit points for squeeze conditions, to capture market moves efficiently.
How It Works:
The Squeeze Momentum Oscillator by AlgoAlpha synergistically combines the principles of momentum tracking and market squeeze detection. By integrating the core logic of the Squeeze & Release indicator, it calculates the Squeeze Value (SV) through a comparison of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the Average True Range (ATR) against the high-low price EMA. This SV is further analyzed alongside its EMA to pinpoint squeeze conditions, indicative of potential market breakouts or consolidations. In addition to this, the oscillator employs Hyper Squeeze Detection for identifying extremely low volatility. The momentum aspect of the oscillator evaluates the price movement relative to EMAs of significant highs and lows, refining these observations with a z-score normalization for short-term momentum insights. Moreover, the incorporation of divergence detection aids in identifying potential reversals, making this oscillator a comprehensive tool for traders looking to harness the power of volatility and momentum in their market analysis. The combination of the Squeeze & Release and the Momentum Oscillator allows traders to time their trades with more precision by entering when the market is in a squeeze and front running the volatility of a major move.
Elevate your trading strategy with the Squeeze Momentum Oscillator by AlgoAlpha and gain a competitive edge in deciphering market dynamics! 🌟💼 Happy trading!
TrendVista Swing IndicatorOverview
The swing indicator is designed to offer traders a comprehensive analysis of market trends and volatility by integrating Bollinger Bands and the Average True Range (ATR). It aids in the visualization of price movements and volatility across multiple time frames, thereby providing insights into potential buy and sell opportunities.
Key Features
- Multitimeframe Analysis : By default, the indicator examines the market across the following time frames: 1 Day (1D), 4 Hours (4H), 1 Hour (1H), and 15 Minutes (15min). Users have the flexibility to modify these time frames to suit their trading strategy by adjusting the indicator's settings.
- Buy and Sell Timings : The indicator identifies optimal buy signals when the price drops below the lower Bollinger Band and subsequently re-enters the band's range. Additionally, a buy signal is generated during high volatility periods—signified by the ATR exceeding its 10-day average—helping traders spot potential liquidation points. Sell signals are tailored for traders looking to exit long positions rather than for initiating short positions.
- Bollinger Bands Phases : The indicator categorizes the market condition into three phases based on Bollinger Bands movement:
- Neutral Phase : When the closing price is within the Bollinger Bands' upper and lower limits.
- Bullish Phase : Signaled by the price closing above the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting an upward trend until the price closes below the middle band.
- Bearish Phase : Initiated when the price closes below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a downtrend until the price closes above the middle band.
Users can opt to exclude the neutral phase from the analysis through the indicator's settings for a more focused view on bullish or bearish trends.
Indicator Customization
The swing indicator is versatile, allowing users to customize the time frames and phase visibility according to their preferences. This feature ensures that traders can tailor the indicator to match their specific analysis needs and trading strategies.
Considerations
- The signals provided by the swing indicator are not symmetrically designed for both buy and sell actions. The indicator primarily optimizes for identifying long positions, particularly in bull markets. The sell signals are intended for exiting existing long positions rather than for short selling.
Pivot Length BandsPivot Length Bands Indicator
Description:
The Pivot Length Bands indicator is designed to visualize price volatility based on pivot points and ATR-adjusted pivot points. I. These bands can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels and assess the current volatility of the market.
Inputs:
Swing Length: The length of the swing used to calculate the pivot points and average true range.
Pivot Length Left Hand Side: The number of candles to the left of the current pivot point to consider when calculating the pivot high and low.
Pivot Length Right Hand Side: The number of candles to the right of the current pivot point to consider when calculating the pivot high and low.
Usage:
Traders can use the bands as potential levels for placing stop-loss orders or profit targets.
The width of the bands adjusts dynamically based on the current volatility of the market.
Note:
This indicator is best used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and should not be relied upon as a standalone trading signal.
EXAMPLE 1:
Entry:
Exit:
EXAMPLE 2:
Entry:
Exit:
MTF BB+KC Avg
Bollinger Bands (BB) are a widely used technical analysis created by John Bollinger in the early 1980’s. Bollinger Bands consist of a band of three lines which are plotted in relation to instrument prices. The line in the middle is usually a Simple Moving Average (SMA) set to a period of 20 days (The type of trend line and period can be changed by the trader; however a 20 day moving average is by far the most popular). This indicator does not plot the middle line. The Upper and Lower Bands are used as a way to measure volatility by observing the relationship between the Bands and price. Typically the Upper and Lower Bands are set to two standard deviations away from the middle line, however the number of standard deviations can also be adjusted in the indicator.
Keltner Channels (KC) are banded lines similar to Bollinger Bands and Moving Average Envelopes. They consist of an Upper Envelope above a Middle Line (not plotted in this indicator) as well as a Lower Envelope below the Middle Line. The Middle Line is a moving average of price over a user-defined time period. Either a simple moving average or an exponential moving average are typically used. The Upper and Lower Envelopes are set a (user-defined multiple) of a range away from the Middle Line. This can be a multiple of the daily high/low range, or more commonly a multiple of the Average True Range.
This indicator is built on AVERAGING the BB and KC values for each bar, so you have an efficient metric of AVERAGE volatility. The indicator visualizes changes in volatility which is of course dynamic.
What to look for
High/Low Prices
One thing that must be understood about this indicator's plots is that it averages by adding BB levels to KC levels and dividing by 2. So the plots provide a relative definition of high and low from two very popular indicators. Prices are almost always within the upper and lower bands. Therefore, when prices move up near the upper or lower bands or even break through the band, many traders would see that price action as OVER-EXTENDED (either overbought or oversold, as applicable). This would preset a possible selling or buying opportunity.
Cycling Between Expansion and Contraction
Volatility can generally be seen as a cycle. Typically periods of time with low volatility and steady or sideways prices (known as contraction) are followed by period of expansion. Expansion is a period of time characterized by high volatility and moving prices. Periods of expansion are then generally followed by periods of contraction. It is a cycle in which traders can be better prepared to navigate by using Bollinger Bands because of the indicators ability to monitor ever changing volatility.
Walking the Bands
Of course, just like with any indicator, there are exceptions to every rule and plenty of examples where what is expected to happen, does not happen. Previously, it was mentioned that price breaking above the Upper Band or breaking below the Lower band could signify a selling or buying opportunity respectively. However this is not always the case. “Walking the Bands” can occur in either a strong uptrend or a strong downtrend.
During a strong uptrend, there may be repeated instances of price touching or breaking through the Upper Band. Each time that this occurs, it is not a sell signal, it is a result of the overall strength of the move. Likewise during a strong downtrend there may be repeated instances of price touching or breaking through the Lower Band. Each time that this occurs, it is not a buy signal, it is a result of the overall strength of the move.
Keep in mind that instances of “Walking the Bands” will only occur in strong, defined uptrends or downtrends.
Inputs
TimeFrame
You can select any timeframe froom 1 minute to 12 months for the bar measured.
Length of the internal moving averages
You can select the period of time to be used in calculating the moving averages which create the base for the Upper and Lower Bands. 20 days is the default.
Basis MA Type
Determines the type of Moving Average that is applied to the basis plot line. Default is SMA and you can select EMA.
Source
Determines what data from each bar will be used in calculations. Close is the default.
StdDev/Multiplier
The number of Standard Deviations (for BB) or Multiplier (for KC) away from the moving averages that the Upper and Lower Bands should be. 2 is the default value for each indicator.
