Bitcoin elliott wave update dla BITMEX:XBTUSD.P przez WaveNerd

Bitcoin elliott wave update

From alth to bottom it made 5 waves Down. We are now in corrective fase up. I have provided a detailed count of the last 5th wave.
Some have the last 5 th wave as b wave. That is possible but I cannot get the subwaves to fit in a b wave. If it is a b wave we are now in an expanded flat which is about to end. For now I go with 5 waves Down and look for a zigzag up as a corrective move before new lows

Uwaga

Possible bwave ss alternative to the 5 th wave

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Detailed count of the 5th wave

Uwaga

Count on the move up. Looks like we in wave 4.

Uwaga

Possible triangle in w 4

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Triangle could have finished with a triangle in the e wave. We will see

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Called the e wave a little early. E was a regular zigzag with a triangle in the b wave. We should get a 5th wave up before correction down to 22 k area. If we go lower the triangle invalidates.

Uwaga

The correction was a wxy with a triangle as y wave like this

Uwaga

As mentioned earlier this could be a 4 th wave and we are in proces of finishing the last 5th wave. However it is also possible thst recent correction was a shallow w2 of angoing 3rd wave of a c wave like this.

Uwaga

If its the latter ( and indicators suggests it) next target to look for is around 36 k for s finished 3rd wave.

Uwaga

5 waves up from 27.7 k is coming to an end. After the correction is done it should clarify the wavecount om medium term. Around 30.8 target for 5 th wave

Uwaga

Couple of posdibilties. Scenario 1

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Scenario 2 same target as wxy

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3rd scenario. We in an unfinished 3rd wave.

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4th scenario. Technaly a perfect fit but rsi Reading make me doubt this count .

Uwaga

Scenario 4 is my preferred count for now. Rsi May not be sn issue since wave 1 was extended and 3 and 5 were not. Furthermore equality between 2 and 4 in time and alteration in depth. W 3 and 5 always rougly equal in time. I look for a b wave Down to 21 k area.

Uwaga

Scenario 1 or 3 seems are still an option. The count Will become clear soon.

Uwaga

If current lows hold. Next level to look for around 32.7 for s possible wxy

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I antecipate something like this

Uwaga

Count from top. Looks like a timeconsuming flat if bottom holds. Or we in a larger wave down

Uwaga

Nothing has changed. Still downside expected.

Uwaga

5 waves Down com plettes. W2 up if the above is a triangle. Rsi does not confirm s triangle . Another scenario is a flat and we get a cwave up to 30 k before more down

Uwaga

Bottom in for now. A zigzag completed.

Uwaga

Move up appears corrective. If so more downside.

Uwaga

Bullish pattern developing leadin diagonal with s double zigzag as w1 tradingview.com/x/Co

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Waiting for wave 2 to finish. A zigzag with a flat for b wave.

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Zigzag looks finished

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Upside. Remains to be seen if 5 wave structure or a zigzag. Zigzag target White or blue Line. 5 wave structure target around the blue Line.

Uwaga

Looks like we get a zigzag up. Bwave being a triangle

Uwaga

Very complicated waveaction. Still possible we get a c wave up. However its doubtfull. Spottet this potential bearish pattern. The triangle aint pretty but no violation and all the subwaves with in could be counted as zigzags.

Uwaga

Triangle almost invalidated. Looks like a bullish move up after all. Ld as w1 snd then another. W1. Could be a finished zigzag as well. We Will know if 27.4 comes

Uwaga

On weekly tf. I look at these 2 possiblities.
Scenario 1 5 waves up as wave a. Current correction a b wave as wxy

Uwaga

Scenario 2: we have finished a zigzag up as wave w. We currently in a triangle as x wave. Once triangle is finished we get a y wave up

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5 waves building up as 1st leg of zigzag Down.

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Watch out for a possible 3 wave structure instead.

Uwaga

Waves clearing up. Wxy in the making. X wave an expanded flat. Current move up is a c wave of a flat finishing the cwave. The coming y wave Down Can be expected to last around 4 weeks.

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The above ongoing cwave still posdible. But 2 other counts could be in plays ss well

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Second: xwave finished and we are forming a leading diagonal as wave a of the ywave

Uwaga

Complicated wavestructure on small tf but it looks like we could be in a b wave of the y wave. If so blue c could end round 25th of june.

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C wave of y in progress

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Still waiting for y wave to complete at 23.8 k. Probably 6-8 days left. Once its done a move up to 30 k is expected

Uwaga

5 finished waves up. This changes the weekly count a bit. I will update later. But this wave up was the 5th wave up to finish a 5 wave structure from 15 k. Next months of b wave action with target round 24 k

Uwaga

Weekly count. 5 waves finished. A wave of zigzag. W2 expanded flat. Wave 4 wxy. Equality between 1 and 3. Highest risk on 3rd and bearish rsi Div on the 5th

Uwaga

Last wavecount is wring. Subwaves dont fit. Form bottom we have 5 waves up then 2 months of corrections as wave b or 2. Latest move up was 5 as well. Could be wave 2 of bigger 5 wave struction

Uwaga

Complex corrective structure but most likely sn exp. Flat in the making

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Alternative bullish count. Will see if 30.5-30.2 holds

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So far a 3 wave move Down ( if its finished) in that case we have a bullish set up . So far prices making higher highs and lower lows so exp flat might not happen.

Uwaga

Not an exp flat but a simple zigzag. At least for now.

Uwaga

Zigzag might be forming on weekly with c wave being a diagonal

WaveNerd

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