chartwatchers

GOLD - The week of the bull

Long
chartwatchers Zaktualizowano   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Złoto / Dolar USA
Our bottom is confirmed by today's swing. After a shallow pullback on Sunday night price bounced higher.
Most of the day was spent by printing a flag/ range on the hourly chart and we closed near to the daily top.

What happened exactly? After the first 2 daily cycles we printed a DCL last Friday and bounced from the 100 MA almost tagging the triangle trendline and the 200 MA. The level where the rally started from was the FIBO 61,8%.

Today we not just had a swing but a trendline break of the daily down trend line. By printing one more green 10$ candle we are having a 3 white soldier formation.
So tomorrow will be important : I would like to see if we are able to print the 3 white soldier formation by the close or not...

Fibonacci worked pretty well at the decline. I will use the FIBO on our way up too.
As of today we just tagged the 23,6% retracement. We can spend 1-2 days here. If we really stop now and cannot print the 3rd green candle tomorrow: it will show weakness...

The next level is the FIBO 38,2% (1298) and after that the FIBO 50% at 1309,5 and the false swing level at 1213$.
During the next few days we need to watch very carefully how we rally to these price points...
I think the bulls don't have to worry about their position this week. Even if it's a dead cat bounce we will tag minimum 1298-1309 during the next few days.

LONG FOLLOW THROUGH idea

Komentarz:
Komentarz:
FIBO 38,2% was close but we couldn't tag it
Komentarz:
The 3rd white soldier is a disabled one. Not a good sign that we couldn't hold all the gains into the close.
Komentarz:
I think our flag is ready to break higher.
Komentarz:
RSI is overbought.
We need to break above 1300. Th FED MInutes can be the trigger for this
Komentarz:
***** RSI is oversold...
Komentarz:
2 hours later:
Komentarz:
Going to break to new highs on the hourly in the Asian session.
Komentarz:
New high.

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