XAU/USD 18-22 March 2024 Weekly Analysis

Weekly Analysis:

Bias remains unchanged from last week's analysis dated 10/03/2024

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Did not reach EQ.

Price has finally printed a bullish swing BOS

Most likely scenario would be for price to pull back following swing BOS (Break Of Structure)

First structural indication, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a vertical blue dotted line.

At some stage HTF request to LTF would be to switch bearish to facilitate HTF pullback.

Weekly Chart: snapshot

Daily Analysis:

Bias remains unchanged from last week's analysis dated 10/03/2024.

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-. Sub-Internal: Bullish.
-> Has reached EQ.

Price has printed a swing BOS. Swing low confirmed and adjusted with swing high yet to be established.

Sub-internal structure is denoted in red.

Most likely scenario is for price to pull back following swing BOS. First indication, but not confirmation, would be a bearish CHOCH denoted with a vertical dotted line.

Price could potentially continue to trade bullish to seek further liquidity before pullback.

Daily Chart: snapshot

H4 Analysis:

Analysis/bias remains unchanged from last Friday's analysis dated 15/03/2024.

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price printed a swing BOS and subsequently a bullish iBOS.

Bearish CHoCH has been printed.

We are now trading within an internal range.

As mentioned 11/03/2024, bearish CHoCH, which is the first structural indication, but not confirmation that bearish pullback is underway, will indicate pullback initiation has now been printed.

Bearish iBOS will provide confirmation that pullback is underway.

Due to the bullish nature of the market, Intraday expectation is for price to target internal high, however, all HTF's are indicating the need for a pullback, therefore, a second potential scenario could be price targeting internal low to confirm pullback is now underway.

H4 Chart: snapshot




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