HEADER - This is the theoretical favorite for next 24 hours.
SUMMARY - There can only be so much "delay". This because too much delay equals trend change. So SHORT TERM BEAR thesis has 24 hours to prove it.
DETAILS - See previous draft for background.
NOTES 1 - It pretty has to hit perfect, perfect, so I am ready to be wrong with this one.
a) so on the way down, there are certain places that regressions line up for a move down
b) but the counter trend support are really impossible to forecast right unless you are watching 15sec and 30sec bars all of the time
c) but if there are too many of these things, the trend change with it
d) hence there's only one window left for bears to prove something this week and this is it
e) if there's hesitation, punishment tends to follow meaning that...
f) in perfect spots for one direction move, if IT DOES NOT MOVE THAT WAY...
g) for whatever reasons, it moves THE OPPOSITE STRONGLY AFTERWARDS
h) it's like a tug of war, where YOU GET PUNISHED FOR HESITATION