XAU/USD 02-06 August 2024 Weekly Analysis
Weekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed again in last week's weekly analysis, However, CHoCH positioning remains the same.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
On Tuesday 20 August 2024 price printed all time high.
Thursday 22 August 2024 price printed a bearish CHoCH which indicated bearish pullback phase initiation. Printing of bearish CHoCH has also confirmed internal range.
Thus far, price has been unable break weak internal high which is an indicator that price may seek further liquidity before attempting to target weak internal high again.
I would expect price to either react at discount of internal 50% EQ or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed again in last week's weekly analysis, However, CHoCH positioning remains the same.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
On Tuesday 20 August 2024 price printed all time high.
Thursday 22 August 2024 price printed a bearish CHoCH which indicated bearish pullback phase initiation. Printing of bearish CHoCH has also confirmed internal range.
Thus far, price has been unable break weak internal high which is an indicator that price may seek further liquidity before attempting to target weak internal high again.
I would expect price to either react at discount of internal 50% EQ or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
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