XAUUSD ALL TIME HIGH $2870 #SEMS #GOLD ANALYSIS

Important Trading Levels XAUUSD (as of NFP Release Week):🔻🔺📌🚨

Immediate Sell Zone: $2,880–$2,900–$2,930🔺
Immediate Buy Zone: $2,840–$2,810–$2,790🔻

H4 Buying Levels: $2,720–$2,690–$2,650–$2,610🔺
H4 Selling Levels: $2,885–$2,910–$2,939–$2,964🔻

⚠Warning : Do Not risk more than 5% Of Your Capital. Trading in Gold an other Financial instruments and markets involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses.

🇨🇳China’s Retaliation: Antitrust Investigations into U.S. Tech Giants

•Google: Investigated over Android dominance, affecting Oppo & Xiaomi.
•Nvidia: Probe revived after initial investigation in December.
•Intel: Possible investigation pending based on U.S.-China relations.

📌 These regulatory actions appear to be part of China’s retaliation against Trump’s new tariffs on Chinese imports. President Xi is expected to engage with Trump soon, potentially shaping further developments.

🌎Market Outlook & Takeaways:

•Gold remains supported by trade tensions and safe-haven demand.
•The Japanese yen strengthens amid rising wages, inflation, and an expanding services sector.
•China’s regulatory actions could escalate U.S.-China trade tensions, impacting tech stocks and market volatility.

🇺🇸🇮🇱Markets React to Trump’s Gaza Proposal & Economic Data

Trump’s Gaza Proposal: Market Indifference
•President Donald Trump’s suggestion to turn Gaza into the "Riviera of the Middle East" has not influenced markets significantly.
•The idea, echoing a previous proposal by Jared Kushner, remains unclear in intent and has been largely dismissed by traders.
•Oil prices remain stable, and global markets have shown no strong reaction.

USD/JPY & Japanese Economic Outlook

📌 USD/JPY Weakens (-0.9%)
•The dollar continues to decline for the third consecutive day as Treasury yields drop.
•The yen strengthens following a larger-than-expected rise in Japanese wages, increasing the likelihood of Bank of Japan rate hikes.

📉 Technical Breakdown:
•Break below key support levels at 153.76 & 153.36, signaling a continuation of the short-term downtrend from its 2025 peak (158.87, Jan 10).
•Next downside targets:

1. 151.50 (Fibo 38.2% retracement of 139.57–158.87 rally)
2. 151.00 (psychological support)

📊 Key Resistance & Selling Opportunities:

•200DMA (152.77) breached, validating further downside potential.
•Limited price upticks may provide better entry points for short positions.

U.S. Economic Data to Watch Today

📌 ADP Private Sector Payrolls (Jan)
•Previous: 122K | Forecast: 148K
•Potential impact on USD strength if data beats expectations.
📌 December Trade Balance & January Services PMI
•Expected to influence market sentiment and dollar movement.

Japan’s Wage Growth Strengthens BoJ Rate Hike Case

📌 Labour Cash Earnings (Dec):
•+4.8% YoY (above expectations)
•Base earnings steady at +2.5% YoY for the second month.
•Real cash earnings: +0.6% (Nov: +0.5%), despite rising inflation.

📌 Implications for BoJ Policy:
•If Shunto wage negotiations deliver strong results, the BoJ may hike rates by 25bps as early as May.
•Base earnings growth (+5.2%) aligns with BoJ’s target for sustainable wage growth (3%), reinforcing expectations for policy tightening.

Stay tuned for further updates as geopolitical and economic events unfold. 📊📈