Bearish

Here's how you can structure your trade with proper risk management, including setting your Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL):


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1. Set Take Profit (TP):

Your TP is 2650, which is the price level you anticipate the market to reach based on your technical analysis.

This target could be based on support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, or other price action strategies.



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2. Set Stop Loss (SL):

Your SL is 150 pips away from your entry price. This means if the price moves 150 pips against your position, the trade will automatically close to limit your loss.

The SL ensures you control your risk and avoid significant account drawdowns.



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3. Calculate Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):

The Risk-to-Reward Ratio is calculated as:


\text{RRR} = \frac{\text{Potential Profit (TP Distance)}}{\text{Risk (SL Distance)}}

If your TP distance is 300 pips and SL is 150 pips, your RRR is 2:1, which is favorable.

Always aim for a minimum RRR of 1:2 or higher to ensure profitability over time.



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4. Position Sizing and Lot Calculation:

Use this formula to determine the correct lot size for your trade:


\text{Position Size} = \frac{\text{Account Balance} \times \text{Risk Percentage}}{\text{SL (in pips)} \times \text{Pip Value}}

Example Calculation:

Account Balance: $1,000

Risk per Trade: 1% = $10

SL Distance: 150 pips

Pip Value for Gold (1 micro lot): $0.1


Position size:

\text{Position Size} = \frac{10}{150 \times 0.1} = 0.066 \text{ lots (micro lots)}

Adjust your position size to keep your risk per trade consistent.



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5. Trade Entry Strategy:

Ensure you enter the trade based on a valid confirmation signal:

Price Action: Look for candlestick patterns like pin bars or engulfing candles near key levels.

Indicators: Use RSI, MACD, or moving averages to confirm the trend or potential reversal.

Breakouts: Enter after a strong breakout from a support or resistance level with high volume.




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Key Points to Remember:

1. Always stick to your SL and TP. Do not move them impulsively unless based on solid market reasons.


2. Risk only a small percentage of your account per trade (typically 1–2%) to preserve capital.


3. Monitor the market session: For example, gold can be volatile during the London or New York sessions, so time your trade accordingly.


4. Maintain discipline: Avoid over-trading or revenge trading.



By following this structured approach, you'll protect your account from major losses while maximizing potential profits in the long run.

Trend Analysis

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