At the 4-hour level of gold, as shown in the figure, this cycle is currently in a downward trend. According to the five waves of decline, 2790-2724 is the first wave of decline, 2724 to 2749 is the second wave of correction, and 2749 to 2643 is the third wave of decline. This 2643 is calculated based on 1.618 times, which is exactly stuck at this position, and from the perspective of segmentation, it is also the 786 segmentation support; therefore, assuming that 2643 is established, then the next is the fourth wave of correction, and the amplitude is calculated as 50%, which is 2696, which is also the resistance point with a probability of testing tonight; if there is pressure, the last wave of decline will be carried out; and it just so happens that the second half of the night is the time to announce the interest rate. According to the cyclical deduction of the first interest rate cut trend, the gold price will first rise and then fall, and finally stabilize and rise again. According to the wave shape, the low point of the fifth wave is about 2605, which is exactly the previous low point of 2602 or a good double bottom stabilization. Of course, the amplitude of the last wave is often irregular, and it may be not far from the low point of the third wave.
Gold hourly level: In the morning, it continued to fall directly to 2643. It is easy to enter into shock after a big drop. The trend continuity in the morning is relatively poor, so it is easy to bottom out and pull up if it falls first. The key to the support of 2643 is also calculated in advance. After the stabilization signal appears, it will follow the bullish rebound. At present, it has broken through the middle track. However, after a day of operation, the high point of 2678 in the early morning has not been broken. The overall rebound strength is not large. Therefore, it may need to bottom out tonight and wait for the news stimulus guidance in the second half of the night;
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go short at 2700-2710, with a target of 2680-2670