WTI $ could be in for more short-term suffering b4 NEW HIGHS!
Large bearish Descending Triangle in WTI. This means we could easily test bottom again, which ultimately could mean another gut punch for Alberta. Corb Lund and the 'Hurtin Albertans' indeed!
If you read up on the descending triangle formation, it tells us it is a bearish pattern and most often a continuation pattern, however, it also can represent a reversal pattern, which clearly it does in the case of WTI, since it began from the peak price point in 2008. I believe this descending triangle will eventually break to the upside once it resolves and will eventually lead to crude oil prices at new all time highs. The formation requires two tags of the base line and two on top which have completed this month. Essentially we are not required to move back to the mid 30's range again for this to resolve, but i'd be cautious going long crude in any big (long-term) way until either we break that upper line or see a pull back to the 50 month MA (or go really deep for one more tag of the base line). Remember this is a long-term analysis (month chart) and we may not see a break out until 2020 or later.
If you read up on the descending triangle formation, it tells us it is a bearish pattern and most often a continuation pattern, however, it also can represent a reversal pattern, which clearly it does in the case of WTI, since it began from the peak price point in 2008. I believe this descending triangle will eventually break to the upside once it resolves and will eventually lead to crude oil prices at new all time highs. The formation requires two tags of the base line and two on top which have completed this month. Essentially we are not required to move back to the mid 30's range again for this to resolve, but i'd be cautious going long crude in any big (long-term) way until either we break that upper line or see a pull back to the 50 month MA (or go really deep for one more tag of the base line). Remember this is a long-term analysis (month chart) and we may not see a break out until 2020 or later.