Hello my beauties.
I'll be shorting oil until the 56/58 area as it needs to retest a 13 years old trendline. The price broke it to the upside and I don't think it is going anywhere before kissing it.
Oil is now facing a cluster that consists of the following resistances:
- 1 year long uptrend trend line ;
- downward channel trendline;
- inverted head and shoulders neckline.
On top of that, the following indicators suggest downside to come:
- RSI bearish divergence;
- stochastic forming a bearish divergence.
Further reasons why I am taking the trade:
- we have to see an Elliott wave 5 in the current downtrend. For those of you who are not familiar with Elliott waves , wave 5 needs to exceed the lows created by wave 3.
From a short/medium term technical perspective, downside is pretty probable.
After that I'll be bullish for a very long time. The green area evidences where I expect a strong reaction to happen.The weekly volume profile indicator suggests that the most orders have been placed in the 56 area.
I hope this idea helped you, please like, follow and drop a comment below if you have any questions and we'll discuss them together.
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Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX