USDJPY has encountered support and appears to have staged a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the prevailing local trend. At present, the dollar is strengthening, which could present an opportunity for the currency pair to appreciate. The price is consolidating in a strong support zone, and the fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from U.S. economic factors. Meanwhile, the prospect of interest rate hikes in Japan has largely been disregarded, with market participants focusing more on economic data from the West.
From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing upward global and local trends, the preference is to take a long position. Should the currency pair manage to secure a close above the 151.90 - 151.95 range, we can anticipate further upward movement towards the target levels shown on the chart in both the short and medium terms.
Resistance levels: 151.95, 153.70, 154.00 Support levels: 151.00, 149.52
However, if the dollar continues its correction and the bulls fail to maintain the false support breakdown, a price return to 150.95 could trigger a support break, leading to a potential decline towards 148.60
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