During Wednesday's European session, the USD/CHF pair found a temporary support level near 0.8520, pausing its downward momentum after three consecutive days of losses. The Swiss Franc has managed to stabilize as the US Dollar (USD) regains some strength following its recent drop to a seven-month low.
The market atmosphere remains calm as traders and investors shift their focus to the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes from the July meeting. These minutes are expected to provide key insights into the Federal Reserve's (Fed) thinking, particularly regarding the potential for interest rate cuts in the near future.
From a technical standpoint, the USD/CHF pair has returned to a significant demand zone, where a trade position has already been established. The current price action suggests a potential pullback, hinting at a possible upward movement. Supporting this outlook, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report highlights a divergence in market sentiment: retail traders are predominantly bearish, while commercial traders, including large funds and money managers, appear to be increasing their positions, indicating a potential shift in market trends.
As the week unfolds, market participants will be closely monitoring any new developments that could influence the Fed's monetary policy decisions, particularly regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts in September and by the end of the year. The Fed, having kept rates steady in July within the 5.25%-5.50% range, has left the door open for potential rate reductions, which could drive further market movements as more economic data emerges.
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