USD/CAD Retest Nearing Completion, Strong Bullish Wave Incoming

USD/CAD is trading at approximately 1.4170.Our target price of 1.8000 suggests an anticipated upward movement of over 38,000 pips, indicating a highly bullish outlook. You note that the pair is completing a retesting period, potentially leading to a strong bullish wave.

Technical analysis indicates that USD/CAD has been consolidating around recent highs, with the market awaiting key economic data to determine its next direction. A significant support level to monitor is 1.3950; a break below this level could shift the bias from bullish to bearish. Conversely, maintaining support above this level may reinforce the bullish scenario.

Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar has recently strengthened, reaching a two-month high against the U.S. dollar. This appreciation was driven by a decrease in U.S. bond yields and positive Canadian labor market data, including a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.6% and the addition of 76,000 new jobs in January 2025. These factors have eased concerns about an economic slowdown in Canada.

In summary, while the USD/CAD pair is currently exhibiting consolidation, the completion of the retesting period could lead to a strong bullish wave toward your target price. Traders should closely monitor key support levels and upcoming economic data releases to make informed decisions.