USD/CAD: Double top beneath key swing highs

USD/CAD has risen just over 4% since its YTD low set in July. And it did so in a relatively straight line. Yet a double top has now formed on the daily chart beneath the April and May highs, with the second ‘top’ coming in the form of a bearish engulfing / outside day. This likely points to at least a minor top over the near-term. Any low-volatility moves towards 1.3600 could provide bears an improved reward to risk ratio, with 1.3500 making a viable initial target. Should US data such as GDP, ADP employment and Nonfarm payroll disappoint, we could be looking at much lower.

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