Inflation / Unemployment / Stocks

5 wrz 20222022 is most comparable to 1978 in terms of the current jobs & inflation situation. Seven decades of history concerning the 3, shows that the current drop in stocks is more likely a correction and not the start of a true bear market. 1972-73 scenario is 1 against 6 odds (and that's after demoting 1978 to equal the others). It also usually takes a long time for unemployment to carve a bottom. Even if we assume that right now it's doing so, we're still too early.