Bullish. Stay Bullish.

135
At what point does anyone decide that the markets have indeed taken a reversal in its trend. We have been in a bear market for a few months, and we all know they are short and swift. There are a lot of technicals on SPY that point towards a bullish end to 2023, but balancing that with knowing that the markets are never certain - we need to watch for key catalyst dates (data) to help us gauge our long term line of thinking. Here is a big picture:
1. Technicals showing bullish patterns
2. Feds hold rates
3. Economy slowing down into a recession
4. Inflation wavering at higher than 2%, remaining sticky
5. Credit card debt hitting 1 trillion
6. Mortgage renewals on the horizon for 2024 and beyond at the higher bank rates.

I’d watch for data on Nov 14 and 15 to decide.

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