Possible 2023 Outcomes

2 gru 2022

All red and green lines are approximate clones of the first draw down. Channels are drawn periodically as market changes

3 gru 2022

Uwaga

Lower blue line is long term post-GFC regression trend line. Movement may go above or below but will follow this trend line long term

3 gru 2022

Uwaga

See my entire chart: tradingview.com/chart/0luKNs81/

3 gru 2022

Uwaga

Up/down trend lines are clones of each other. The original was taken from earlier this year.

This trend line doesn't fit all drawdowns/breakouts but it is an approximate fit that seems to co-incide with our trend lines

4 gru 2022

Uwaga

Unemployment still at 3.7. Fed Pivot not likely coming. Soft landing still possible.

5 gru 2022

Uwaga

To answer some questions i've been getting:

In general, you could expect more lightning bolt shaped movements on the red/green lines. They're meant to show a trend, not really predict the future.

5 gru 2022

Uwaga

max pain for 2022 Dec 16th is 390

6 gru 2022

Uwaga

It's really fighting that 392 level

7 gru 2022

Uwaga

Looks like we lost the trend line and our 392 support. Let's give it a day of follow through to see where it's ultimately going but this looks bearish for now.

13 gru 2022

Uwaga

best of luck to you this week with fomc & cpi

we'll soon see where we'e headed

17 gru 2022

Uwaga

looking at weekly, we have confirmation of a breakdown. Looking at VRP, not much holding us from 360s. LOTS of selling in the last few days. Just like this last Jun, lots of gaps opening up. went down by 10%. Those gaps didn't get filled for a couple of months.

30 gru 2022

Uwaga

Maybe no santa rally this year :(

Market has pulled up to .382 fib retracement from recent down. will we make it to 0.5?

Yesterday, 28Dec22, we had the highest PCC ratio of the year. Hard for market to go down when people keep putting puts in the way