Treading Water, 13 Apr 2023

🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈

➤ Equities failed to take advantage of the early bullish mood. Prices ended weakly for a solid down day.

➤ Yesterday I talked about the current state of the market and it being in a short-term consolidation phase. This is a situation where prices move up and down within a range treading water prior to breaking out higher or lower. Allowing for a new trend to emerge. Typically, the longer the consolidation phase the longer the subsequent trending phase. It's like a coiled spring releasing all its pent up energy.

➤ Today we saw the price fail to break above and continue to tread water. It is a delicate balance because the consolidation has a narrow range (high to low). Narrow ranges don't usually last very long.

➤ I've cut half of my long position in response to the further coiling of price. Short-term direction bias gets more cloudy the longer this goes on.

➤ Conclusion: 🐆 Tread lightly.

EQUITY TREND:

⦿ Short-term (weeks) - NEUTRAL
⦿ Medium-term (< 6 months) - UP
⦿ Long-term (>6 months) - DOWN
Chart PatternsdjiaS&P 500 E-Mini FuturesTechnical IndicatorsnasdaqQQQrussell2000S&P 500 (SPX500)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Trend AnalysisVIX CBOE Volatility Index

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