SPX: NFP shaped sentiment
Negative investors sentiment marked the previous week on the US equity markets. At the start of the week a news hit the market that market favorite tech company Nvidia was charged by the U.S. Justice Department for violence of antitrust law in the US. As news is reporting, charges came from company Xockets Inc for illegal use of the company's patents related to data processing units used in AI technology. This was the initial timing of the general selloff on financial markets. Another negative news was released on Friday, when the US non farm payrolls hit the levels below market anticipated ones. During August, the US economy added 142K new jobs, while the market was expecting to see a figure near 160K. The combination of negative news and sentiment brought the S&P 500 to its worst week in 2024. The index started the week at the level of 5.645 and finished it at 5.505, about 2,5% lower. The drop was mostly led by tech companies.
A weak jobs data is turning investors to reconsider their expectations of the earnings of companies in the US in the coming period. Increasing number of analysts is pointing to a possibility of a recession in the US. Investors are now increasing expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates by 50 bps at their September meeting, in order to diminish further decline of the economy and jobs market. By the CME Group FedWatch Tool, there are almost equal numbers of participants who are expecting a 25 bps and 50 bps rate cut.
Analysts are in agreement that the market currently does not have a clue in which direction to trade. At this moment investors are turning their eyes toward the Fed for guidance. In this sense, some further volatility might be expected at the US equity markets, until September 19th, when the Fed will shape the sentiment and final direction of equity markets.
A weak jobs data is turning investors to reconsider their expectations of the earnings of companies in the US in the coming period. Increasing number of analysts is pointing to a possibility of a recession in the US. Investors are now increasing expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates by 50 bps at their September meeting, in order to diminish further decline of the economy and jobs market. By the CME Group FedWatch Tool, there are almost equal numbers of participants who are expecting a 25 bps and 50 bps rate cut.
Analysts are in agreement that the market currently does not have a clue in which direction to trade. At this moment investors are turning their eyes toward the Fed for guidance. In this sense, some further volatility might be expected at the US equity markets, until September 19th, when the Fed will shape the sentiment and final direction of equity markets.
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