When to trim / move to a more conservative allocation?

17 sie

When QQQ moves 8% above the 20 MA (during a long term bullish trend).
Back test this hypothesis?

17 sie

Uwaga

*In the weekly chart = 20 week SMA and in the log scale.

17 sie

Uwaga

Details:

1. First check if 20w MA is above all SMA's and the rest are above the other. (long term bullish trend)
If met: When price crosses above +8% of 20w MA move to a 30/70 allocation (30 QQQ/ 70 bonds).

17 sie

Uwaga

- within #1:
If prices crosses below 20w MA move to 80/20 and keep this allocation if 2 weeks later it closes above the 20w MA Else:
Move back to 30/70

17 sie

Uwaga

2. If price crosses below -7% 100w MA move to 90/20 and keep this allocation if 2 weeks later it closes above 100w MA. Else: move back to 30/70

17 sie

Uwaga

3. If price crosses below +5% of 200w MA move to 90/20 and keep this if 2 weeks later...