NZD/USD Bears Remain in Control
Since early October, sellers have largely taken control of the NZD/USD (New Zealand versus the US dollar) and sent price to lows not seen since late 2022, with limited pullbacks seen. Overall, the currency pair is down nearly 10% from October highs.
Ichimoku Resistance Supporting Sell-On-Rally Setups
What is technically important to recognise is that the current downtrend remains supported by the area formed between the Ichimoku’s Conversion Line (blue at US$0.5830) and Base Line (red at US$0.5892). Consequently, as long as the pair continues to explore lower levels, any pullback will likely prompt traders to closely monitor price action for signs of bearish intent from within the aforementioned area.
Adding to the bearish outlook for the NZD/USD, in addition to the 200-day simple moving average (US$0.6050) rotating lower, and price crossing south of the line in early October, it is clear that the Ichimoku’s Leading Span A (light green at US$0.5861) crossed below the Leading Span B (light orange at US$0.6012). This provides a bearish signal and helps establish another resistance area that investors will watch closely should a deeper pullback come to fruition: the Ichimoku Cloud.
Price Direction?
With the downtrend clear, should a pullback to resistance at US$0.5816 materialise – which, at that point, will likely line up with the resistance area between the Ichimoku’s Conversion/Base Lines – this could be an area that sellers are drawn to.
Ichimoku Resistance Supporting Sell-On-Rally Setups
What is technically important to recognise is that the current downtrend remains supported by the area formed between the Ichimoku’s Conversion Line (blue at US$0.5830) and Base Line (red at US$0.5892). Consequently, as long as the pair continues to explore lower levels, any pullback will likely prompt traders to closely monitor price action for signs of bearish intent from within the aforementioned area.
Adding to the bearish outlook for the NZD/USD, in addition to the 200-day simple moving average (US$0.6050) rotating lower, and price crossing south of the line in early October, it is clear that the Ichimoku’s Leading Span A (light green at US$0.5861) crossed below the Leading Span B (light orange at US$0.6012). This provides a bearish signal and helps establish another resistance area that investors will watch closely should a deeper pullback come to fruition: the Ichimoku Cloud.
Price Direction?
With the downtrend clear, should a pullback to resistance at US$0.5816 materialise – which, at that point, will likely line up with the resistance area between the Ichimoku’s Conversion/Base Lines – this could be an area that sellers are drawn to.
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