Utilizing Elliott Wave theory, I've conducted a thorough analysis of Nifty 50, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment with a compelling case for an impending correction towards the 21100-21000 range. Here's a breakdown of my analysis:
1. Identification of Ending Diagonal and Subsequent Impulse Move: - In January 2024, an Ending Diagonal pattern commenced, concluding on March 11th, 2024. This pattern often signifies a terminal move within the larger trend. - Subsequently, a 5-wave impulse move initiated on March 24th, 2024, suggesting a new directional trend emerging.
2. Observation of Correction Wave: - Following the completion of the 5-wave impulse move, a 3-wave correction began on March 24th, 2024. - Currently, the correction appears to be approaching a critical juncture, particularly around the 22250-22300 range, which formerly served as demand but now acts as supply after being broken.
3. Anticipated Reversal and Bearish Momentum: - Based on my analysis, I anticipate a reversal from the aforementioned supply-turned-demand range. The invalidation point for this projection stands at 22530. - The reversal is expected to trigger a new 5-wave impulse move, indicative of strengthening bearish momentum.
4. Target Projection: - My analysis suggests that this upcoming impulse move will likely drive Nifty 50 towards the 21100-21000 range. - These levels represent significant support zones and align with the broader bearish sentiment I've identified through Elliott Wave analysis.
5. Risk Management Considerations: - While my analysis supports a bearish outlook, it's crucial to implement robust risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders and monitoring market developments for any potential shifts in the prevailing trend.
In conclusion, my analysis underscores a compelling case for a bearish trajectory in Nifty 50, with a projected correction towards the 21100-21000 range. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, adhering to risk management protocols while monitoring price action for confirmation of the anticipated trend continuation.
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