18 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - short below 20070

Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “For Monday I wish to maintain the same 50% neutral 50% bullish stance. And wish to go short if 20100 level is getting taken out.”. Nifty was not neutral today, had a negative bias, but did not fall below 20100 to go short.

On Friday SPX closed -1.22% down sending a strong negative message, but it seems like our markets were not afraid. The pre-open today showed a -0.23% probable open - but the real open was just 0.04% down. The first candle swung to a low of 20121 which was respected till 15.15. Just imagine - a market that doesnt get bothered by what is happening globally. Even though over-valued, over-extended rally - still no fear of a fall or correction. There is something special about Indian stock markets.

I was almost out of words for this tweet - not just small and midcaps but even the large caps are overbought.

On the 1hr TF, I will be quite happy if this turns out to be the new top formation. Since the 20100 level was not taken out today, I was not able to take new short positions. We have a holiday tomorrow, but when we resume on Wednesday - I would really prefer if 20070 is taken out, till then I would prefer to stay neutral.
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