Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about GOLD on several timeframe perspectives. Gold has shown up with an decisive pullback since the highs in May 2023, with this dynamic further assumptions on the direction of GOLD are important. In the recent times expectations for declining CPI- and PPI numbers offer a more positive outlook on a more middle-to-long-term-perspective for assets like gold. Also rising war and economic risks established since March 2022 increased the overall institutional and state treasury open interest in gold and marked the increased volume that established the protracted momentum wave.
Nonetheless on the short-term rising bond prices can trigger a next corrective wave and the technical perspective is indicating a main descending-channel in which is gold just recently completed a local bear-flag to determine further continuations into the wave-count direction to the downside to form the wave C of the main wave-count. It will be important how gold then moves into the final targets at 1800 because in this case such a formation can also invalidate when the bearish momentum is really high.
On the weekly timeframe perspectives it has to be pointed out that gold already emerged with a strong bullish momentum wave which is backed by institutional open interest and offering a strong origin of the bull-flag to actually complete. With the open interest increasing further and gold continuing with a stabilization within the flag-formation a breakout of the bull-flag gets more likely from where the target-zones can be projected pointing out to the 2400 level as a target.
It will be important how the market develops within the next times especially with Gold moving into the bear-flag targets zones within the flag-formation and how the momentum develops in this case to consider further dynamics.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP