GBPUSD analysis week 35

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Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD surged in North American trading after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave the green light to interest rate cuts, as he believes inflation is approaching the central bank's 2% target. The pair traded above 1.3200, at a fresh two-year high, up more than 1%.

Bets on a 50bps rate cut opening in September have increased after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, in his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Conference on Friday, publicly admitted that it was finally time for the US central bank to start pushing down its benchmark interest rate.

Next week, GBPUSD traders will want to keep an eye on the upcoming UK bank holiday on Monday. For the rest of the week, UK economic data releases remain limited, although the currency market will pay special attention to the upcoming US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation figures due later next week.

Technical Analysis:

GBPUSD formed a strong uptrend at a two-year high following the latest Fed data. On the D1 timeframe, the EMA 34 is sloping up strongly against the EMA 89, suggesting that the market structure is tilted towards the upside with the nearest trading range around 1.328-1.314. With such a strong rally, the highest the pair can reach next week is around the resistance zone of 1.341. It is quite difficult to find a good SELL point when the market has not reacted to the price at the moment. Any pullback at this point is seen as a good time to buy rather than a trend reversal. The best BUY level is around 1.300 strong resistance zone which GBPUSD has broken through and now forms strong support zone when the pair price returns.

Resistance: 1.328-1.342
Support: 1.314-1.300

Trading signals
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.300-1.298 Stoploss 1.296
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.342-1.344 Stoploss 1.346

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