GBPNZD Action plan depending on break-outs

4 maj 2022

The GBPNZD pair is currently under a rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the next Support, based on the correction of 2020, we are more likely to see the trend turn bearish again than bullish. As a result, our plan is to sell as long as the price doesn't close a 1D candle above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (around 1.9850). The hard bearish target is the 2018 Higher Lows trend-line and if you want you may take the -0.236 Fibonacci extension (around 1.8300).

A break above the 0.786 Fib though (2.015 roughly), invalidates the bearish bias and instead should create a new long-term bullish pattern towards the Higher Highs, with our target on that occassion beaing 2.1000.


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