GBP/JPY Faces Selling Pressure Amid Economic Uncertainty

19 mar

During the early Asian session on Wednesday, the GBP/JPY pair grapples with selling pressure, hovering around the 190.000 mark. The price action reveals a swing reversal pattern, notably around the 61.8% to 78.6% Fibonacci levels following a double top formation. This sets the stage for a reversal swing trading strategy.

Economically, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, expected to maintain rates unchanged for the fifth consecutive time. The focus will be on the Fed's stance on inflation, with Chair Jerome Powell hinting at the possibility of rate cuts later in the year, contingent upon sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target.

Meanwhile, in the UK, inflationary pressures are easing, prompting caution from the Bank of England (BoE). Despite moderating inflation, the BoE remains vigilant until the Consumer Price Index (CPI) returns to the 2% target. With expectations of interest rates remaining steady at 5.25% during Thursday's BoE meeting, investors anticipate potential rate cuts starting in August, followed by additional cuts by year-end.

Amidst this economic backdrop, our strategy revolves around a short position, complemented by a sell limit order at 191.500, capitalizing on the prevailing market conditions and anticipating potential price movements.