GBP/JPY Clears January Range to Push RSI Towards Overbought Zone

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GBP/JPY clears the January range to register a fresh yearly high (190.08), with the recent rally in the exchange rate pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards overbought territory.

GBP/JPY Outlook

GBP/JPY moves away from the 50-Day SMA (184.68) as it extends the advance from the start of the month, and a move above 70 in the RSI is likely to be accompanied by a further rise in the exchange rate like the price action from last year.

A close above 189.00 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) may push GBP/JPY towards the 192.40 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 193.50 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) region, with the next area of interest coming in around 195.28 (August 2015 high) to 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension).

However, the RSI may show the bullish momentum abating if it struggles to push into overbought territory, with a move below 186.60 (50% Fibonacci extension) bringing the monthly low (185.24) on the radar.

--- Written by David Song, Strategist

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