Multi-Timeframe Analysis D1 (Daily Chart) Trend: Strong bearish bias, with price below the 200 SMA and Ichimoku cloud. Indicators: RSI at 40 and MACD signaling downside momentum. Support/Resistance: Support: 1.0490 and 1.0450. Resistance: 1.0540 and 1.0570.
H4 (4-Hour Chart) Trend: Downtrend continues, with price consolidating near the lower Bollinger Band. Indicators: Stochastic is in the oversold zone (17.87), indicating potential short-term pullback. MACD suggests bearish momentum but losing strength. Support/Resistance: Support: 1.0495 and 1.0450. Resistance: 1.0530 and 1.0550.
H1 (Hourly Chart) Trend: Price is below all major moving averages and Ichimoku cloud, confirming bearish structure. Indicators: RSI at 40, indicating continued bearish bias but with room for a pullback. Stochastic is oversold (23.76) and turning up, suggesting a potential retracement. ATR (14) at 10 pips, reflecting moderate volatility. Key Levels: Support: 1.0495, followed by 1.0450. Resistance: 1.0530 and 1.0545.
M30 (30-Minute Chart) Trend: Intraday bearish trend intact, with consolidation near key support levels. Indicators: MACD turning slightly neutral. Stochastic oversold (28.47), indicating potential for minor correction. Revised Trade Plan for EUR/USD (H1)
Trade Setup 1: Bearish Continuation After Pullback Rationale: EUR/USD remains in a bearish trend, and any pullback toward 1.0530–1.0540 provides an optimal sell opportunity. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0525–1.0530 (on a retracement to resistance). Stop-Loss: 1.0555 (above the intraday resistance). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0495 (current support). TP2: 1.0450 (next key support). Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Trade Setup 2: Aggressive Breakout Short Rationale: A clean break below 1.0495 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting lower levels. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0490 (on a confirmed breakout). Stop-Loss: 1.0515 (above the breakout level). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0470. TP2: 1.0450. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Trade Setup 3: Intraday Scalping on Reversal Rationale: If price breaks above 1.0535, it may trigger short-term buy momentum, targeting a retracement to the next resistance. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0540. Stop-Loss: 1.0525. Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0555. TP2: 1.0570. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.5.
Key Considerations News Impact: Watch for the 13:30 GMT US inflation data release, which could spike volatility. Avoid placing trades right before the release.
Correlated Instruments: DXY: A rise above 106.75 may further pressure EUR/USD. Treasury Yields: A spike in yields could add USD strength.
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