Entering Bearish H&S on EURUSD

17 sty

Technical Pattern:
The chart illustrates a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is traditionally a bearish reversal pattern. This pattern is complete with the formation of the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. The neckline of the pattern, which is the support level that once broken can signal the continuation of the downward trend, appears to have been breached.

Trade Setup:
The trade entry is signaled on the breakout and retest of the Head and Shoulders pattern's neckline.

Stop Loss:
The stop loss is set at 1.08887, which is likely above the right shoulder or a recent swing high, providing a buffer against a false breakout or a reversal in price action.

Take Profit Levels:

Take Profit 1: Set at 1.07855, which may be calculated based on the height of the pattern or a previous level of support.
Take Profit 2: Further down at 1.07407, aiming for an extended profit target, possibly at a significant support level or a measured move from the pattern.

Trade Rationale:
The rationale for this trade is based on the classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests that after the completion and breakout, the price is likely to continue in the direction of the breakout. The trade entry on the retest of the neckline is a common strategy that allows traders to enter the market after the initial breakout has been confirmed, potentially offering a better risk-reward ratio.

Risk Management:
This trade idea includes a clear stop loss, which is essential in managing risk. The two take profit levels allow for partial profit-taking, potentially maximizing gains while still leaving room for the trade to run further if the price action continues in the desired direction.

Market Context:
As always, it is important to consider the current market context. Fundamental factors such as economic releases, central bank decisions, and geopolitical events can have a significant impact on currency pairs and should be monitored closely to manage the trade effectively.