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Long Position 2 will expose you to less risk. 400 is a strong support based on the thesis that previous resistance points has turned into support - 400 was a celing for a long time for ETH.
Something to think about;
"See The Value-Not The Price" - a HODL theory .
When the enterprises and the banks of EEA starts to utilize the network on a global scale (thats what we're hoping for and what EEA is working on), then it would be inevitable that the token should gain value against the traditional fiat.
However, If Ethereum fails for some reason, a so called "black swan event" (like the "DAO" - or worse), the coins could be just about worthless like Vitalik Buterin warned about on his twitter account. (He is simply telling people to be careful, and it could be in the best interest of Ethereum for some reason.) But Ethereum have stayed safe since the DAO with rigorous testing and developing, and we should remember that here have only been good news about Ethereum as of late.
Meanwhile we "crash" I see incredible amount of Ether accumulation (some people are seeing the value, not the price) which is keeping me very bullish even in these bearish markets.
I had a idea that "some people are probably trying to devaluate Ether, to gain more Ether" - A form of Control and draining of the market - but that is tactic that won't last forever, a reaction will come in the form of a upwards correction at some point. Ethereum has everyhing to going for it, it's enterprise alliance and the amount of developers is constantly growing. The protocol is expanding, scaling solutions in the work, proof of stake & casper.