FullTimeTrader

DXY (and SPX 500)-facing a monster resistance ¿will they crash?

Short
INDEX:DXY   US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX
12
I think the world market is at very decisive stage this months. We know fundamentally the USD is expected to gain strenght more and more with rising the interest rates.

But technically we see the price if facing strong levels of resistance, is extremely overbought and needs some correction before continuing the bullish trend.

Here is my long term SPX500 analisis

Looking at this DXY chart, the price is near a strong resistance where the 0.61 fib level is the star. We have also the very strong psycholevel 100 near.
A bearish crab could be also at play.
RSI extremely overbought.

I expect some correction at least to the 0.2360 fib retracement. Its interesting to see that the target fib levels coincides with important levels of S/R

Off course the scenario 2 is also possible: price breaks and close clearly above the 100 level, makes a pullback and continues the bullish trend ignoring all the technicals.

This is not a trade, watch closely the DXY because this affects all the markets, especially the positive related pairs (USDCAD, USDJPY, etc) and negative related pairs (EURUSD, EURGBP)

Best regards


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