adatherton

$MCD missed last four earnings without ill-effect

Long
NYSE:MCD   McDonald's Corporation
MCD is a safe solid stock, although oddly in XLY rather than XLP.

It has missed the last four earnings, and the pullbacks from those misses are fairly mild recover quickly. Even the double whammy of a miss and loss of CEO in Q319 started to recover within days. Note in Q418, the stock only fell 11.5% against a general market decline of 20%. In this respect it is quite similar to KO (although that is in XLP), another purveyor of junk consumption.

Assuming the current trend continues, a pullback on another earnings miss of 3.84% or less gives you a safe stock to return to $220 in 2020, and the PE return to the highs of 28.

Note MCD is a DJIA component, and risks being dragged on any macro DJIA collapse (election, rate hikes etc).

David Atherton
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