Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku

21 sie 2022

Good weekend,

As usual, here is our analysis of the week looking at a glance at the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator with traditional settings. We used in support other indicators that we developed and released Open Source, you can find them at the end of the analysis.

Trend:
Kumo has been green for 17 days, flattening and shrinking (now at 4.61%). The situation has changed dramatically since the previous week. After an attempt to break the Kumo the price presented a series of red candles including a Marubozu that led the price to go below the Kumo, the Tenkan, the Kijun (which it was approaching) and the Tenkan Weekly. Right now the only uptrend signals are from the Kumo of the future, which still remains green.

The Kijun Trend indicator continues to indicate looking for long positions, although-as price has gone below the Kumo and not touched it for two candles-it may return to looking for short positions.

Heikin-Ashi:
Interestingly, the Heikin-ashi, which usually-at the cost of having some lag-cleans the trend were green until price touched the top of the Kumo and then instead indicated a strong downtrend with only red candles of which many without shadows above.

Supports and resistances:
- 25000.00 by Fibonacci
- 24600.00 Tenkan Weekly
- 23400.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 22400.00-22600.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20000.00 psychological threshold
- 19100.00-18900.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 12700.00 from the waves of Hosoda
- 11000.00-13000.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan

For the various static price structures, reference can be made to the chart where the structures identified by the flat moments of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, also Chikou for the daily time frame, are plotted.

Also, recall that the various Ichimoku lines serve as dynamic price structures: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).

Fibonacci:
The Fibonacci levels on the Daily still show us positive long-term sentiment and places the 0 upside on 75000.00. Price is still below the 1 level on which it was rejected.

Conclusion:
BTC's situation has changed after touching the key 25000.00a level. Not surprisingly, there are some Long Upper Shadows candles on the Senkou Span B.

The Hosoda waves that found a new bearish ABC pattern with point C on the August 15 high, indicates very interesting levels such as 21084.38 (where the price is right now) 20118.06 as support and 23631 as resistance.

It is important to assess the close of the week and during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish/Lateral: 23631.01
- Bearish: 20118.06

Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased.
- BTC Dominance: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Decreased.
- Alt cycle expectation: Decreased fast.

Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.


Indicators used:
Analysis Tool

Kijun Trend Indicator

Ichimoku Support and Resistance

Chikou Support and Resistance