BITCOIN - In a decisive situation

Bitcoin has done well in the $ 40,000 support range, and the price has recovered twice from that range. But it is still struggling with $ 45,000 resistance.

Yesterday, Bitcoin again attacked the $ 45,000 resistance but again fell slightly as it approached this range. If it can record future daily candlesticks at a price higher than this range, it can be assured with a high percentage of breaking this range and further growth of bitcoin.

If we do not see a stabilization candle above the $ 45,000 resistance level in the daily timeframe, we should expect more falls. If the price drops, the first destination of Bitcoin will once again be the support range of $ 40,000. Of course, we can not be sure that this range will support bitcoin again.

On the lower timeframes, Bitcoin has the local support of $ 43,000 area and $ 41,700 area.


⚠️The Russia-Ukraine tension is still there, and we will see the impact on markets. Keep tight stop loss in all positions.⚠️


I hope for a day when the world is free of war and hatred.

Komentarz:

Today, the Fear & Greed index of the digital currency market shows the number 51 and is in the neutral range. Yesterday, this index was at 46 and in the Fear range.

Komentarz:

Well, let's take a closer look at bitcoin in the hourly time frame and have an update.

Bitcoin buyers have so far failed to cross the $ 45,000 resistance. As it turns out, the market has been reforming in recent days; But the downtrend is likely to be limited to $ 42,800.



Bitcoin started a new uptrend yesterday with the support of buyers at the level of $ 44,000. The price went above $ 44,500, and buyers could increase their distance with the 100-hour moving average ( SMA ).



Despite this upward movement, the price candle did not meet the resistance of $ 45,000, and the price peaked at $ 44,770. Then, with the start of the downtrend in the market, first the support of $ 44,500 and then the support of the bullish channel on the chart in the range of $ 44,200 was lost.



Bitcoin is currently trading a short distance from the 23.6% Fibonacci level. In this analysis, Fibonacci levels are set based on the upward movement of the price from $ 41,573 to the peak of $ 44,770. If the market continues to rise again, the uptrend channel line on the chart at $ 44,200 will act as the first resistance to the price.



The first key resistance for Bitcoin is at $ 44,500, and crossing it could pave the way for further price jumps. The following key resistance is at $ 45,000, and if this level is broken, we can expect the price to reach the next resistance at $ 45,500.



If buyers can still push the price above $ 44,500, they will have to wait for a deeper price correction. In that case, it would support $ 43,800 before other price levels.



The next key support is $ 43,150 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Breaking this range could push the price to the $ 42,800 support area and close to the simple 100-hour moving average, which breaks the risk of a sharp fall in the price of Bitcoin in the short term.



The MACD is entering a bearish range, and the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) is still above the 50 level.

As mentioned, $ 43,800 and $ 43,150 are key Bitcoin supports, and $ 44,200, $ 44,500 and $ 45,500 also act as price resistance.


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Komentarz:

The range trend in these areas will continue, and I expect to return to around $ 42,200.