I am a big fan of big and round things. Spikes to a new high. Comes back into the range. Makes it round. And you won't believe what you see is real. Because you are conditioned to same basic things like:
-Neutral funding is good. -Bearish posts are good. -Bad news are good. -Good news are good. ...
The list goes on. But when the market turns it turns.
Uwaga
My spot holdings are reduced to almost DOGE only. ETH related things showed no strength. Yes, I'll play this bounce and maybe small short plays on the way down if this is the case, but I think time to leave crypto is coming.
Uwaga
Look at gold. Chilling at ATH's. Bitcoin is following risk markets. It even looks like front running it. Interesting times coming.
Uwaga
And not to mention, you are exposed to an immense propaganda.
Uwaga
Hmm let's see who called this bounce. The most bearish bear (me)
Uwaga
And hmm it's still volatile af.
Uwaga
I took profit here on this gamble. NQ lost trend.
Uwaga
It looked absolutely bullish 2 times in 2021.
Uwaga
Uwaga
Bold to assume this one is different.
Uwaga
People keep talking about funding rates etc but I'd say be careful who you are trading against. It's not average Joe shorting right now, That's obvious.
Uwaga
This is roughly how I read this chart. Bearish below the red line. 78k target above it.
Uwaga
If I had to with one of them I'd go with ETH. Not much trap here. Only hope.
Uwaga
But that as well may break down.
Uwaga
And if it does...
Uwaga
The difference. ETH is like trying to decide if this is simply correction to the first leg of the downtrend. BTC is a volatile mess. Making it a better subject for a dist idea.
Uwaga
And it's not average Joe crashing your longs now.
Uwaga
Yes shitcoin circles panicking but they know what it's like. Imagine the panic of IBIT boomers.
Uwaga
But it was a black swan. Well charts told me to gtfo weeks ago.
Uwaga
Everything is offline, crypto dumps. What does this do? Positive correlations gone. Don't underestimate this effect. Crypto is all about charts. Because there is no real value. There is literally no other way to trade it. It's all human psychology. Bad days are over. Now is time for worse days.
Uwaga
Lol bros unionizing around an internet character they really know nothing about. Worst crashes happen when the “brotherhood” is too strong.
Uwaga
Just realize this. If he whoever it is, not telling you this is all gambling and wealth transfer from the vast majority to a really small minority, and even majors do not differ in this sense, he is not your friend.
Uwaga
There is only one crypto influencer worth respect I know of in this manner. That is DonAlt.
Uwaga
The incredible analysts who called 32 of the last 1 bounces based on funding rate and spot premium calling the bottom again. Let's see.
Uwaga
Bears should thank GCR for the dead cat bounce I guess.
Uwaga
Isn't it cool that I not only predicted that the market would fall despite neutral/negative funding rates, but that everyone will talk about it as an important bullish indicator :D
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