#### **Trend Analysis (DS Strategy Perspective)** 1. **Primary Trend (BB 104 0.1):** - BTC has fallen below the **BB 104 0.1 Lower Band ($97,017.05)**, confirming a **downtrend**. - This suggests a shift from a strong bullish phase into a corrective or bearish structure.
2. **Short-term Trend (BB 20 0.2):** - The **Middle Band ($93,255.95)** is acting as resistance. - The price is trading **below MB**, indicating continued short-term weakness. - The price has slightly rebounded but remains inside the **LB12 Channel ($88,463.09 - $93,255.95)**, meaning it is still in a short-term downtrend.
#### **Trading Plan (SBD Strategy Execution)** 1. **Positioning Approach:** - Since BTC is in a **downtrend (BB 104 0.1 Lower Band broken)**, we focus on **short positions** rather than longs. - **No long entries unless BTC reclaims BB 104 0.1.** - If BTC consolidates near **BB 20 LB1 ($88,463.09)** and shows weakness, it provides a potential short re-entry zone.
2. **Short Entry Strategy:** - Look for rejection at **BB 20 MB ($93,255.95)** or **BB 104 0.1 Lower Band ($97,017.05)** as a short entry opportunity. - If BTC rallies to BB 20 MB and fails to break above, this could serve as a **scaling-in zone for short positions**.
3. **Risk Management:** - **Stop Loss:** Above **BB 104 0.1 Upper Band ($97,871.26)**. - **Take Profit Targets:** - First target: **BB 20 LB1 ($88,463.09)** - If price breaks below LB1, the next target could be the **$80,000-$85,000** zone.
#### **Conclusion** BTC is currently in a downtrend according to **BB 104 0.1**, and the recent short-term rebound does not yet confirm a reversal. - **Strategy Focus:** **Prioritize short trades** unless BTC reclaims **BB 104 0.1**. - **Key Watch Levels:** **BB 20 MB ($93,255.95)** for short entry, and **BB 20 LB1 ($88,463.09)** as first support. - **Invalidation:** A break above **BB 104 0.1 Upper Band ($97,871.26)** would signal trend reversal.
This analysis follows **DS Strategy (SBD framework)** for technical execution. Traders should stay cautious and wait for confirmation before executing trades.
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